Earnings Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 405.61
Price - 52 Week High: 415.96
Price - 52 Week Low: 277.83
Price Date (Latest): 7/27/21
Median Price Target: 435.82
Diff from Prev Close: 30.21
% Difference: 7.45

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.31

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information -

Last Actual (FY0): 9.64
FY0 End Date: 10/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: 0.06
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 3.04
Yield (%): 0.01

Analyst Forecasts -

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 23 16.48 17.17 15.75 16.40 11 -- -- --
Annual Oct 22 14.63 15.27 13.31 14.65 15 -- -- --
Annual Oct 21 13.24 13.38 12.06 13.33 15 -- -- --
Quarterly Jan 22 3.39 3.45 3.33 3.40 6 -- -- --
Quarterly Apr 22 3.56 3.61 3.39 3.60 5 -- -- --
Quarterly Jul 21 3.29 3.41 3.22 3.28 12 -- -- --
Quarterly Oct 21 3.49 3.58 3.37 3.50 12 -- -- --

Actuals -

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 20 9.64 9.56 0.79
Annual Oct 19 12.35 12.32 0.21
Annual Oct 18 11.50 11.61 -0.97
Quarterly Apr 21 3.38 3.09 9.52
Quarterly Jan 21 3.17 2.78 13.89
Quarterly Oct 20 3.16 3.09 2.13
Quarterly Jul 20 2.28 1.52 49.68

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 77.90
FY0 End Date: 10/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 23 156.10 158.39 153.80 156.10 2 -- -- --
Annual Oct 22 143.41 146.01 140.80 143.41 2 -- -- --
Annual Oct 21 128.92 129.03 128.80 128.92 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 20 77.90 78.77 -1.11
Annual Oct 19 73.16 -- --
Annual Oct 18 67.23 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 9.81
FY0 End Date: 10/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 23 18.79 18.79 18.79 18.79 1 -- -- --
Annual Oct 22 18.02 18.02 18.02 18.02 1 -- -- --
Annual Oct 21 16.89 16.89 16.89 16.89 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 20 9.81 10.29 -4.63
Annual Oct 19 14.26 15.09 -5.50
Annual Oct 18 13.46 9.53 41.31

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 10/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 23 0.04 0.06 -- 0.06 5 -- -- --
Annual Oct 22 0.04 0.06 -- 0.06 6 -- -- --
Annual Oct 21 0.04 0.06 -- 0.06 6 -- -- --
Quarterly Oct 21 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 19 0.06 0.08 -15.00
Annual Oct 18 0.06 0.06 --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 10/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 23 920.11 986.50 719.00 950.12 9 -- -- --
Annual Oct 22 826.02 864.30 656.00 852.30 11 -- -- --
Annual Oct 21 739.19 776.04 581.00 770.35 10 -- -- --
Quarterly Jan 22 198.96 201.64 196.50 198.84 4 -- -- --
Quarterly Apr 22 207.25 210.40 199.94 209.34 4 -- -- --
Quarterly Jul 21 191.44 198.10 187.92 191.00 7 -- -- --
Quarterly Oct 21 202.63 208.03 195.70 205.00 7 -- -- --

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 19 731.90 733.91 -0.27
Annual Oct 18 700.60 679.84 3.05
Quarterly Jan 21 182.80 159.86 14.35
Quarterly Jul 20 134.00 96.91 38.27

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 10/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 23 1,141.00 1,275.00 1,052.00 1,128.55 6 -- -- --
Annual Oct 22 1,047.45 1,204.30 911.00 1,022.44 8 1 -- 0.35
Annual Oct 21 940.69 1,057.70 863.00 935.00 7 -- -- --
Quarterly Jan 22 223.70 223.70 223.70 223.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly Apr 22 234.40 234.40 234.40 234.40 1 -- -- --
Quarterly Jul 21 241.97 268.00 225.90 232.00 3 -- -- --
Quarterly Oct 21 258.57 282.00 244.00 249.70 3 -- -- --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 19 866.90 860.34 0.76
Annual Oct 18 829.00 869.93 -4.70
Quarterly Jan 21 223.60 193.33 15.66
Quarterly Jul 20 170.40 128.07 33.06

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 4.81
FY0 End Date: 10/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 23 14.45 14.89 13.60 14.45 7 -- 1 -0.27
Annual Oct 22 12.17 12.91 9.86 12.65 9 -- 1 -0.28
Annual Oct 21 50.37 51.03 49.90 50.36 7 -- -- --
Quarterly Jan 22 2.89 3.01 2.78 2.88 4 -- 1 -0.69
Quarterly Apr 22 3.01 3.05 2.98 3.00 4 -- 1 -0.66
Quarterly Jul 21 2.71 2.84 2.49 2.72 6 -- 1 -0.43
Quarterly Oct 21 2.93 3.16 2.74 2.94 6 -- 1 -0.45

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 20 4.81 5.56 -13.42
Annual Oct 19 9.33 9.43 -1.05
Annual Oct 18 2.81 3.84 -26.87
Quarterly Apr 21 2.36 2.50 -5.66
Quarterly Jan 21 42.31 2.25 1,778.06
Quarterly Oct 20 1.64 2.48 -33.92
Quarterly Jul 20 1.12 0.97 15.46

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 1,677.30
FY0 End Date: 10/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 23 -156.27 -150.00 -162.53 -156.27 2 -- -- --
Annual Oct 22 719.13 889.00 549.26 719.13 2 -- -- --
Annual Oct 21 1,319.72 1,517.00 1,123.15 1,319.00 3 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 20 1,677.30 1,660.50 1.01
Annual Oct 19 1,737.30 1,460.00 18.99
Annual Oct 18 1,945.10 1,963.81 -0.95

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 478.14
FY0 End Date: 10/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 23 822.78 854.95 782.00 828.20 10 -- -- --
Annual Oct 22 729.77 760.40 657.00 733.20 12 -- -- --
Annual Oct 21 658.32 666.10 600.00 663.00 12 -- -- --
Quarterly Jan 22 170.74 172.00 169.90 170.31 3 -- -- --
Quarterly Apr 22 175.91 180.00 169.04 178.70 3 -- -- --
Quarterly Jul 21 163.68 169.70 160.33 163.00 7 -- -- --
Quarterly Oct 21 174.36 178.14 167.60 175.00 7 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 20 478.14 473.72 0.93
Annual Oct 19 617.60 616.79 0.13
Annual Oct 18 571.90 576.17 -0.74
Quarterly Apr 21 167.90 153.85 9.13
Quarterly Jan 21 157.40 138.04 14.02
Quarterly Oct 20 156.74 154.38 1.53
Quarterly Jul 20 112.86 78.03 44.63

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 23 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual Oct 22 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual Oct 21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly Apr 22 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly Jan 22 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly Oct 21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly Jul 21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Dec 00 -- -- --
Dec 00 -- -- --
Dec 00 -- -- --
Dec 00 -- -- --
Dec 00 -- -- --
Dec 00 -- -- --
Dec 00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 12.83
FY0 End Date: 10/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 23 11.89 14.77 10.30 11.25 4 -- -- --
Annual Oct 22 11.94 15.72 10.50 11.20 5 -- -- --
Annual Oct 21 16.37 35.20 10.10 13.00 6 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 20 12.83 10.66 2.17
Annual Oct 19 17.81 13.85 3.96
Annual Oct 18 17.64 15.13 2.52

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 2,430.90
FY0 End Date: 10/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Oct 23 3,298.73 3,423.73 3,204.00 3,273.09 11 -- -- --
Annual Oct 22 3,049.34 3,131.82 2,780.00 3,058.24 15 -- -- --
Annual Oct 21 2,856.79 2,898.60 2,594.00 2,873.60 15 -- -- --
Quarterly Jan 22 729.65 737.44 720.80 730.60 5 -- -- --
Quarterly Apr 22 766.53 782.20 757.40 763.54 5 -- -- --
Quarterly Jul 21 726.78 742.70 714.50 726.00 11 -- -- --
Quarterly Oct 21 748.67 757.70 734.70 750.80 11 -- -- --

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Oct 20 2,430.90 2,424.82 0.25
Annual Oct 19 2,653.40 2,646.68 0.25
Annual Oct 18 2,532.80 2,526.22 0.26
Quarterly Apr 21 719.50 690.60 4.19
Quarterly Jan 21 680.50 660.67 3.00
Quarterly Oct 20 681.60 676.20 0.80
Quarterly Jul 20 578.20 535.66 7.94

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 42.08 30.63 27.72

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 38.44 10.49 12.64

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