Earnings Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 346.35
Price - 52 Week High: 365.68
Price - 52 Week Low: 236.68
Price Date (Latest): 10/28/20
Median Price Target: 346.82
Diff from Prev Close: 0.47
% Difference: 0.14

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.23

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information -

Last Actual (FY0): 12.35
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: 0.06
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 10.83
Yield (%): 0.02

Analyst Forecasts -

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 14.15 14.82 13.16 14.24 10 1 -- 0.00
Annual 10/1/21 12.65 13.59 11.67 12.53 14 1 -- 0.00
Annual 10/1/20 9.58 9.67 9.37 9.60 14 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/21 2.95 3.14 2.71 3.00 8 1 -- 0.03
Quarterly 4/1/21 2.98 3.28 2.43 3.02 8 -- 1 0.00
Quarterly 7/1/21 3.26 3.48 3.05 3.28 8 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/20 3.11 3.16 2.99 3.12 12 -- -- --

Actuals -

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 12.35 12.32 0.21
Annual 10/1/18 11.50 11.61 -0.97
Annual 10/1/17 9.70 9.71 -0.14
Quarterly 7/1/20 2.28 1.52 49.68
Quarterly 4/1/20 1.51 2.36 -35.89
Quarterly 1/1/20 2.69 2.71 -0.89
Quarterly 10/1/19 3.30 3.27 0.88

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 73.16
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 102.16 102.16 102.16 102.16 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/21 90.18 90.18 90.18 90.18 1 -- -- 9.14
Annual 10/1/20 78.74 78.74 78.74 78.74 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 73.16 -- --
Annual 10/1/18 67.23 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 60.61 9.44 542.02

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 14.26
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 18.27 18.67 17.87 18.27 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/21 17.17 17.28 17.06 17.17 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 10.81 11.44 10.17 10.81 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 14.26 15.09 -5.50
Annual 10/1/18 13.46 9.53 41.31
Annual 10/1/17 11.98 10.56 13.45

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 0.06
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 0.04 0.06 -- 0.06 3 -- 1 -33.33
Annual 10/1/21 0.05 0.06 -- 0.06 4 -- 1 -25.00
Annual 10/1/20 0.05 0.09 -- 0.06 4 -- 1 -12.50
Quarterly 4/1/21 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/20 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 0.06 0.08 -15.00
Annual 10/1/18 0.06 0.06 --
Annual 10/1/17 0.06 0.06 --
Quarterly 4/1/20 0.03 0.03 --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 731.90
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 827.58 844.10 802.10 833.18 7 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/21 746.91 781.71 712.40 738.10 8 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 568.93 574.50 561.20 569.25 8 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/21 176.13 183.90 165.45 176.50 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/21 174.04 192.40 143.00 182.68 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/21 191.66 200.90 179.70 196.39 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/20 181.66 187.30 174.10 181.40 7 -- -- --

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 731.90 733.91 -0.27
Annual 10/1/18 700.60 679.84 3.05
Annual 10/1/17 550.60 549.06 0.28
Quarterly 7/1/20 134.00 96.91 38.27
Quarterly 4/1/20 91.30 131.14 -30.38
Quarterly 1/1/20 161.80 163.50 -1.04
Quarterly 10/1/19 196.80 198.57 -0.89

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 866.90
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 1,027.98 1,142.50 950.00 1,009.70 4 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/21 910.40 1,033.50 808.00 884.00 5 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 732.22 822.50 703.00 711.30 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/21 217.70 217.70 217.70 217.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/21 234.60 234.60 234.60 234.60 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/21 244.20 244.20 244.20 244.20 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/20 218.40 220.50 216.00 218.70 3 -- -- --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 866.90 860.34 0.76
Annual 10/1/18 829.00 869.93 -4.70
Annual 10/1/17 739.00 670.66 10.19
Quarterly 7/1/20 170.40 128.07 33.06
Quarterly 4/1/20 126.20 164.20 -23.14
Quarterly 1/1/20 197.50 202.45 -2.45
Quarterly 10/1/19 232.30 234.30 -0.85

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 9.33
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 11.83 12.50 10.74 11.92 8 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/21 10.11 11.22 8.69 10.43 9 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 5.58 5.90 5.04 5.62 9 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/21 2.40 2.65 1.97 2.45 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/21 2.35 2.69 1.89 2.26 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/21 2.66 2.89 2.44 2.61 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/20 2.48 2.73 1.88 2.57 6 -- -- --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 9.33 9.43 -1.05
Annual 10/1/18 2.81 3.84 -26.87
Annual 10/1/17 7.52 8.15 -7.74
Quarterly 7/1/20 1.12 0.97 15.46
Quarterly 4/1/20 0.23 1.66 -86.14
Quarterly 1/1/20 1.82 2.18 -16.64
Quarterly 10/1/19 2.42 2.77 -12.58

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 1,737.30
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 488.00 488.00 488.00 488.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/21 1,017.00 1,017.00 1,017.00 1,017.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 1,520.00 1,520.00 1,520.00 1,520.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 1,737.30 1,460.00 18.99
Annual 10/1/18 1,945.10 1,963.81 -0.95
Annual 10/1/17 1,083.90 999.00 8.50

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 617.60
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 698.85 718.70 663.00 698.42 7 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/21 620.88 656.60 573.00 623.70 9 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 474.77 479.00 465.00 475.80 9 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/21 149.11 156.60 135.24 152.30 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/21 143.31 162.10 121.70 144.72 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/21 159.56 169.80 152.80 157.83 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/20 154.52 157.70 148.80 154.60 7 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 617.60 616.79 0.13
Annual 10/1/18 571.90 576.17 -0.74
Annual 10/1/17 481.10 480.31 0.16
Quarterly 7/1/20 112.86 78.03 44.63
Quarterly 4/1/20 74.90 104.05 -28.02
Quarterly 1/1/20 133.60 135.66 -1.52
Quarterly 10/1/19 165.20 164.24 0.58

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 10/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 17.81
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 14.00 15.60 12.70 13.70 3 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/21 13.48 15.10 11.00 13.90 4 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 10.66 12.90 7.40 12.70 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/20 13.40 13.40 13.40 13.40 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 17.81 13.85 3.96
Annual 10/1/18 17.64 15.13 2.52
Annual 10/1/17 16.38 14.94 1.44
Quarterly 7/1/20 12.22 14.30 -2.08
Quarterly 10/1/19 19.28 15.70 3.58

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 2,653.40
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 2,937.52 3,020.70 2,872.29 2,940.58 9 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/21 2,745.73 2,829.80 2,567.00 2,753.95 12 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 2,427.31 2,434.10 2,417.00 2,428.15 12 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/21 668.51 684.80 652.10 669.20 7 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/21 666.11 692.29 617.80 675.60 7 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/21 696.86 730.20 672.02 700.20 7 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/20 679.00 684.80 671.70 679.00 11 -- -- --

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 2,653.40 2,646.68 0.25
Annual 10/1/18 2,532.80 2,526.22 0.26
Annual 10/1/17 2,139.00 2,137.05 0.09
Quarterly 7/1/20 578.20 535.66 7.94
Quarterly 4/1/20 524.90 591.58 -11.27
Quarterly 1/1/20 646.20 647.74 -0.24
Quarterly 10/1/19 691.60 683.97 1.11

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 28.05 36.17 27.39

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate -22.30 32.05 11.90

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