Earnings Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 375.15
Price - 52 Week High: 382.54
Price - 52 Week Low: 236.68
Price Date (Latest): 1/15/21
Median Price Target: 368.67
Diff from Prev Close: -6.48
% Difference: -1.73

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.27

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information -

Last Actual (FY0): 9.64
FY0 End Date: 10/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: 0.06
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 3.04
Yield (%): 0.02

Analyst Forecasts -

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/23 15.66 16.38 14.67 15.61 8 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/22 14.02 14.67 13.31 14.01 15 -- -- -0.36
Annual 10/1/21 12.53 12.96 12.06 12.53 16 1 -- -0.25
Quarterly 1/1/21 2.78 2.83 2.73 2.78 13 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/21 2.94 3.04 2.76 2.96 13 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/21 3.22 3.45 2.98 3.23 13 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/21 3.60 3.94 3.37 3.58 13 -- -- --

Actuals -

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/20 9.64 9.56 0.79
Annual 10/1/19 12.35 12.32 0.21
Annual 10/1/18 11.50 11.61 -0.97
Quarterly 10/1/20 3.16 3.09 2.13
Quarterly 7/1/20 2.28 1.52 49.68
Quarterly 4/1/20 1.51 2.36 -35.89
Quarterly 1/1/20 2.69 2.71 -0.89

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 77.90
FY0 End Date: 10/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/23 111.26 111.82 110.70 111.26 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/22 99.54 100.38 98.70 99.54 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/21 88.06 88.42 87.70 88.06 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/20 77.90 78.77 -1.11
Annual 10/1/19 73.16 -- --
Annual 10/1/18 67.23 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 10/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/23 17.43 17.43 17.43 17.43 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/22 17.96 19.10 16.82 17.96 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/21 15.20 15.77 14.63 15.20 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 14.26 15.09 -5.50
Annual 10/1/18 13.46 9.53 41.31

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 10/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/23 0.03 0.06 -- 0.03 4 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/22 0.04 0.06 -- 0.06 5 -- -- 20.00
Annual 10/1/21 0.04 0.06 -- 0.06 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/21 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/21 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 0.06 0.08 -15.00
Annual 10/1/18 0.06 0.06 --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 10/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/23 854.70 936.20 757.00 893.10 5 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/22 782.01 852.60 584.00 813.60 9 -- -- -3.07
Annual 10/1/21 719.96 751.80 602.40 734.30 9 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/21 158.65 164.82 131.00 162.82 8 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/21 166.02 176.50 139.00 170.06 8 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/21 183.63 199.50 165.00 186.30 8 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/21 208.27 229.60 165.00 212.30 8 -- -- --

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 731.90 733.91 -0.27
Annual 10/1/18 700.60 679.84 3.05
Quarterly 7/1/20 134.00 96.91 38.27
Quarterly 4/1/20 91.30 131.14 -30.38
Quarterly 1/1/20 161.80 163.50 -1.04

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 10/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/23 1,042.67 1,084.00 981.00 1,063.00 3 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/22 999.52 1,161.50 911.00 988.40 6 -- -- -1.74
Annual 10/1/21 916.03 1,034.70 863.00 894.50 6 1 -- -1.14
Quarterly 1/1/21 202.77 205.00 200.00 203.30 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/21 210.23 218.70 200.00 212.00 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/21 234.07 242.60 221.60 238.00 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/21 253.43 266.70 237.00 256.60 3 -- -- --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 866.90 860.34 0.76
Annual 10/1/18 829.00 869.93 -4.70
Quarterly 7/1/20 170.40 128.07 33.06
Quarterly 4/1/20 126.20 164.20 -23.14
Quarterly 1/1/20 197.50 202.45 -2.45

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 4.81
FY0 End Date: 10/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/23 13.48 14.24 13.10 13.28 4 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/22 11.59 12.60 9.86 11.79 9 -- -- -1.83
Annual 10/1/21 9.81 10.89 8.04 10.16 9 -- 1 -2.21
Quarterly 1/1/21 2.15 2.37 1.62 2.23 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/21 2.31 2.53 2.08 2.31 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/21 2.59 2.77 2.44 2.58 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/21 3.15 3.42 2.88 3.15 6 -- -- --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/20 4.81 5.56 -13.42
Annual 10/1/19 9.33 9.43 -1.05
Annual 10/1/18 2.81 3.84 -26.87
Quarterly 10/1/20 1.64 2.48 -33.92
Quarterly 7/1/20 1.12 0.97 15.46
Quarterly 4/1/20 0.23 1.66 -86.14
Quarterly 1/1/20 1.82 2.18 -16.64

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 1,677.30
FY0 End Date: 10/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/23 134.00 160.00 108.00 134.00 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/22 694.50 737.00 652.00 694.50 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/21 1,281.50 1,322.00 1,241.00 1,281.50 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/20 1,677.30 1,660.50 1.01
Annual 10/1/19 1,737.30 1,460.00 18.99
Annual 10/1/18 1,945.10 1,963.81 -0.95

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 478.14
FY0 End Date: 10/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/23 779.37 818.90 728.00 783.25 6 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/22 697.58 726.10 657.00 699.35 10 -- -- -0.64
Annual 10/1/21 621.68 644.20 600.00 623.00 11 1 -- -0.35
Quarterly 1/1/21 137.32 139.00 136.20 137.30 7 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/21 143.95 150.50 137.70 144.40 7 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/21 159.38 171.60 148.80 156.69 7 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/21 182.62 195.20 169.00 181.80 7 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/20 478.14 473.72 0.93
Annual 10/1/19 617.60 616.79 0.13
Annual 10/1/18 571.90 576.17 -0.74
Quarterly 10/1/20 156.74 154.38 1.53
Quarterly 7/1/20 112.86 78.03 44.63
Quarterly 4/1/20 74.90 104.05 -28.02
Quarterly 1/1/20 133.60 135.66 -1.52

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/23 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 10/1/22 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 10/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 12.83
FY0 End Date: 10/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/23 14.60 14.60 14.60 14.60 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/22 13.70 15.90 11.50 13.70 4 -- -- -5.08
Annual 10/1/21 13.16 15.40 10.10 12.90 5 -- -- -5.49

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/20 12.83 10.66 2.17
Annual 10/1/19 17.81 13.85 3.96
Annual 10/1/18 17.64 15.13 2.52

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 2,430.90
FY0 End Date: 10/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/23 3,166.61 3,258.90 3,032.00 3,176.00 7 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/22 2,934.16 3,033.50 2,780.00 2,940.00 13 -- -- -0.44
Annual 10/1/21 2,757.64 2,834.70 2,594.00 2,761.59 14 1 -- -0.45
Quarterly 1/1/21 659.94 666.00 654.05 659.10 12 -- 1 -0.02
Quarterly 4/1/21 672.96 694.00 649.00 676.75 12 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/21 699.38 730.00 672.79 701.80 12 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/21 739.65 756.70 725.40 740.30 12 -- -- --

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/20 2,430.90 2,424.82 0.25
Annual 10/1/19 2,653.40 2,646.68 0.25
Annual 10/1/18 2,532.80 2,526.22 0.26
Quarterly 10/1/20 681.60 676.20 0.80
Quarterly 7/1/20 578.20 535.66 7.94
Quarterly 4/1/20 524.90 591.58 -11.27
Quarterly 1/1/20 646.20 647.74 -0.24

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 38.92 29.95 26.75

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 30.97 11.96 11.64

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