STOCK INFORMATION

Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 293.54
Price - 52 Week High: 302.36
Price - 52 Week Low: 221.50
Price Date (Latest): 5/22/19
Median Price Target: 320.55
Diff from Prev Close: 27.01
% Difference: 9.20

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

1.80

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information -

Last Actual (FY0): 11.50
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 0.06
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 3.66
Yield (%): 0.02

Analyst Forecasts -

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 14.61 15.10 14.25 14.50 7 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 13.20 13.65 12.61 13.21 16 1 -- 0.02
Annual 10/1/19 11.99 12.14 11.58 12.02 16 -- 1 -0.01
Quarterly 1/1/20 3.00 3.15 2.82 2.99 8 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 2.77 2.81 2.72 2.76 14 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 3.18 3.26 3.10 3.18 14 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 3.19 3.28 3.14 3.18 14 -- -- --

Actuals -

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 11.50 11.61 -0.97
Annual 10/1/17 9.70 9.71 -0.14
Annual 10/1/16 8.44 8.42 0.21
Quarterly 1/1/19 2.88 2.50 15.15
Quarterly 10/1/18 2.87 2.96 -3.14
Quarterly 7/1/18 3.00 3.07 -2.13
Quarterly 4/1/18 2.86 2.84 0.81

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 67.23
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 98.32 98.32 98.32 98.32 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 86.77 86.77 86.77 86.77 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 80.72 80.72 80.72 80.72 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 67.23 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 60.61 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 55.34 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 13.46
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 16.26 17.50 15.02 16.26 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 14.96 16.00 13.92 14.96 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 13.19 16.38 10.00 13.19 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 13.46 9.53 41.31
Annual 10/1/17 11.98 10.56 13.45
Annual 10/1/16 10.40 7.34 41.75

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 0.06
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 3 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 0.06 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 0.06 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 0.06 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 700.60
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 872.32 919.60 751.00 890.00 5 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 803.50 857.90 650.00 829.77 11 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 731.86 750.00 607.00 744.22 11 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 191.16 198.82 182.98 193.00 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 173.68 181.00 145.00 175.49 9 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 196.20 203.59 170.00 198.70 9 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 198.73 206.45 168.00 204.00 9 -- -- --

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 700.60 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 550.60 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 478.93 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 164.80 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 174.00 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 183.80 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 180.20 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 829.00
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 1,103.50 1,165.00 1,042.00 1,103.50 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 998.48 1,100.00 932.00 980.95 4 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 940.05 1,026.00 874.20 930.00 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 209.05 211.00 207.10 209.05 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 283.60 334.00 233.20 283.60 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 238.60 240.00 237.20 238.60 2 -- -- --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 829.00 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 739.00 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 677.21 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 197.00 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 208.30 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 215.10 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 212.50 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.81
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 12.60 14.20 11.07 12.40 6 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 11.25 13.27 9.27 10.97 11 1 -- 1.79
Annual 10/1/19 9.41 10.51 7.55 9.38 11 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 2.61 2.97 2.27 2.74 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 2.22 2.55 2.01 2.12 7 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 2.68 2.96 2.44 2.62 7 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 2.72 2.95 2.47 2.68 7 -- -- --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 2.81 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 7.52 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 5.59 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 2.07 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 2.02 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 2.03 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 1.23 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 1,945.10
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 353.00 353.00 353.00 353.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 923.00 923.00 923.00 923.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 1,426.00 1,426.00 1,426.00 1,426.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 1,305.00 1,305.00 1,305.00 1,305.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 1,945.10 1,963.81 -0.95
Annual 10/1/17 1,083.90 999.00 8.50
Annual 10/1/16 1,232.96 1,345.14 -8.34

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 571.90
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 718.55 753.80 627.80 727.18 7 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 652.78 687.80 541.10 663.00 12 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 583.63 604.00 451.40 600.80 13 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 144.35 156.20 115.40 153.00 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 134.21 142.20 100.30 138.00 9 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 153.19 160.00 123.30 155.60 9 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 156.27 164.47 124.60 160.56 8 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 571.90 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 481.10 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 414.08 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 142.70 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 143.00 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 148.80 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 142.00 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 17.64
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 15.80 15.80 15.80 15.80 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 14.85 17.20 12.90 14.65 4 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 14.58 17.10 11.00 14.90 5 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 17.64 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 16.38 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 15.43 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 2,532.80
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 3,013.22 3,046.60 2,982.00 3,013.21 7 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 2,832.50 2,866.82 2,774.00 2,836.50 15 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 2,656.23 2,672.88 2,634.00 2,654.20 15 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 670.75 697.80 660.58 667.19 7 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 654.21 661.00 640.30 654.47 13 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 689.84 697.70 685.00 688.90 13 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 685.29 693.50 677.90 684.80 13 -- -- --

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 2,532.80 2,526.22 0.26
Annual 10/1/17 2,139.00 2,137.05 0.09
Annual 10/1/16 1,966.81 1,953.53 0.68
Quarterly 1/1/19 628.10 617.86 1.66
Quarterly 10/1/18 651.50 644.99 1.01
Quarterly 7/1/18 660.00 652.86 1.09
Quarterly 4/1/18 631.30 627.11 0.67

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 25.53 24.48 22.24

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 3.27 10.08 10.65

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