STOCK INFORMATION

Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 265.34
Price - 52 Week High: 267.98
Price - 52 Week Low: 216.47
Price Date (Latest): 9/20/18
Median Price Target: 278.00
Diff from Prev Close: 12.66
% Difference: 4.77

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information -

Last Actual (FY0): 9.70
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: 0.06
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 13.66
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 6.15
Yield (%): 0.02

Analyst Forecasts -

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 13.71 14.17 13.27 13.68 10 -- 8 -2.24
Annual 10/1/19 12.24 12.75 12.02 12.10 17 -- 16 -3.05
Annual 10/1/18 11.62 11.79 11.56 11.61 17 -- 16 -1.62
Quarterly 10/1/18 2.97 3.11 2.92 2.97 15 -- 14 -4.36
Quarterly 1/1/19 2.75 2.92 2.63 2.72 10 1 7 -0.56
Quarterly 4/1/19 3.00 3.22 2.84 2.97 10 1 7 -0.99
Quarterly 7/1/19 3.25 3.43 3.15 3.24 10 -- 7 -2.30
Long Term Growth 15.00 15.00 15.00 15.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals -

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 9.70 9.71 -0.14
Annual 10/1/16 8.44 8.42 0.21
Annual 10/1/15 7.44 7.55 -1.40
Quarterly 7/1/18 3.00 3.07 -2.13
Quarterly 4/1/18 2.86 2.84 0.81
Quarterly 1/1/18 2.79 2.51 11.23
Quarterly 10/1/17 2.65 2.64 0.27

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 60.61
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 88.87 88.87 88.87 88.87 1 -- 1 -1.20
Annual 10/1/19 30.71 30.71 30.71 30.71 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/18 19.29 19.29 19.29 19.29 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 60.61 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 55.34 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 55.26 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 11.98
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 15.42 16.03 14.80 15.42 2 1 1 1.95
Annual 10/1/19 14.11 14.79 13.43 14.11 2 1 1 -2.53
Annual 10/1/18 8.79 10.94 6.63 8.79 2 -- 2 -18.61

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 11.98 10.56 13.45
Annual 10/1/16 10.40 7.34 41.75
Annual 10/1/15 7.95 8.40 -5.36

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 0.06
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 3 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/18 0.07 0.09 0.06 0.06 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 0.06 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 0.06 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 0.06 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/17 0.03 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 550.60
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 862.37 889.90 831.00 865.20 7 -- 6 -1.80
Annual 10/1/19 783.66 808.50 768.00 782.81 10 -- 8 -2.34
Annual 10/1/18 707.97 726.37 674.60 709.74 10 -- 9 -2.09
Quarterly 10/1/18 183.14 184.03 182.10 183.00 7 -- 7 -5.79
Quarterly 1/1/19 171.51 185.80 144.70 174.37 6 -- 3 -3.69
Quarterly 4/1/19 187.71 205.40 160.70 190.12 6 -- 3 -3.29
Quarterly 7/1/19 201.96 214.80 174.00 205.96 6 1 3 -3.12

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 550.60 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 478.93 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 414.55 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 183.80 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 180.20 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 162.70 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/17 152.70 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 739.00
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 1,032.32 1,104.00 994.00 1,025.00 5 1 3 0.87
Annual 10/1/19 951.49 1,040.00 923.00 929.00 5 1 4 -0.85
Annual 10/1/18 870.80 983.00 834.52 839.50 5 1 4 -0.89
Quarterly 10/1/18 216.10 216.20 216.00 216.10 2 -- 2 -4.37
Quarterly 1/1/19 166.60 166.60 166.60 166.60 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 186.00 186.00 186.00 186.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 196.70 196.70 196.70 196.70 1 -- -- --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 739.00 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 677.21 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 554.49 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 212.50 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 229.30 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/17 199.90 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 7.52
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 11.82 12.96 9.29 11.95 9 1 6 -3.05
Annual 10/1/19 10.01 11.48 7.45 9.86 11 1 9 -4.78
Annual 10/1/18 3.83 7.10 2.90 3.36 11 -- 10 -36.78
Quarterly 10/1/18 2.43 2.74 2.10 2.40 7 -- 6 -8.83
Quarterly 1/1/19 2.28 2.52 2.06 2.29 6 -- 3 -6.35
Quarterly 4/1/19 2.56 2.90 2.29 2.53 6 -- 3 -2.80
Quarterly 7/1/19 2.87 3.11 2.59 2.90 6 -- 3 --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 7.52 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 5.59 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 4.14 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 2.03 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 1.23 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 -2.50 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/17 1.78 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 1,083.90
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 693.18 1,021.00 305.00 753.55 3 2 -- 3.24
Annual 10/1/19 1,484.97 1,569.00 1,400.95 1,484.97 2 1 1 0.60
Annual 10/1/18 1,956.26 1,966.53 1,946.00 1,956.26 2 1 1 -0.64

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 1,083.90 999.00 8.50
Annual 10/1/16 1,232.96 1,345.14 -8.34
Annual 10/1/15 1,333.53 1,238.60 7.66

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 481.10
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 675.52 715.50 580.10 679.00 9 -- 8 -4.26
Annual 10/1/19 604.60 647.95 502.40 607.00 13 1 10 -4.16
Annual 10/1/18 577.09 587.15 572.00 576.88 12 -- 11 -1.62
Quarterly 10/1/18 142.64 148.10 109.30 147.41 8 -- 5 -8.24
Quarterly 1/1/19 131.71 145.38 106.20 133.00 5 1 2 --
Quarterly 4/1/19 146.21 162.00 121.50 148.00 5 1 2 --
Quarterly 7/1/19 157.64 172.70 134.70 159.63 5 -- 3 --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 481.10 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 414.08 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 365.90 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 148.80 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 142.00 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 138.10 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/17 131.40 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 772.80 772.80 772.80 772.80 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 721.30 721.30 721.30 721.30 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/18 663.10 663.10 663.10 663.10 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 172.70 172.70 172.70 172.70 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 16.38
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 15.73 17.50 13.50 16.20 3 1 1 --
Annual 10/1/19 15.10 17.30 13.30 14.90 4 1 3 --
Annual 10/1/18 15.03 17.70 10.40 16.00 4 -- 3 -3.33

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 16.38 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 15.43 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 13.97 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 2,139.00
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 2,856.97 2,941.40 2,822.23 2,851.70 11 3 7 -0.21
Annual 10/1/19 2,681.73 2,731.30 2,654.08 2,678.83 16 3 13 -0.55
Annual 10/1/18 2,526.03 2,529.50 2,522.00 2,525.55 16 3 13 -0.23
Quarterly 10/1/18 645.37 656.30 640.70 644.30 13 -- 13 -1.60
Quarterly 1/1/19 630.66 652.20 623.80 626.00 9 1 7 0.39
Quarterly 4/1/19 661.64 673.40 652.50 660.80 9 1 7 -0.54
Quarterly 7/1/19 697.11 706.60 683.30 699.16 9 4 3 0.48

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 2,139.00 2,137.05 0.09
Annual 10/1/16 1,966.81 1,953.53 0.68
Annual 10/1/15 1,797.06 1,816.81 -1.09
Quarterly 7/1/18 660.00 652.86 1.09
Quarterly 4/1/18 631.30 627.11 0.67
Quarterly 1/1/18 590.00 583.48 1.12
Quarterly 10/1/17 561.50 558.30 0.57

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 22.83 17.70 1.29
FY1 21.67 31.22 0.69
FY2 19.35 18.61 1.04

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 19.81 4.88 1.14
FY2/FY1 5.36 38.63 0.76
FY3/FY2 5.36 38.63 0.76

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