STOCK INFORMATION

Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 231.84
Price - 52 Week High: 260.26
Price - 52 Week Low: 216.47
Price Date (Latest): 6/21/18
Median Price Target: 270.69
Diff from Prev Close: 38.85
% Difference: 16.76

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.06

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information -

Last Actual (FY0): 9.70
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: 0.06
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 13.16
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 6.25
Yield (%): 0.03

Analyst Forecasts -

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 14.08 14.37 13.84 14.10 9 3 4 -0.35
Annual 10/1/19 12.63 12.94 12.32 12.65 17 3 11 -0.59
Annual 10/1/18 11.82 11.88 11.77 11.81 16 5 8 -0.02
Quarterly 7/1/18 3.07 3.14 3.01 3.07 15 2 9 -0.62
Quarterly 10/1/18 3.11 3.18 3.04 3.10 15 4 7 0.06
Quarterly 1/1/19 2.77 2.89 2.64 2.78 8 2 4 -0.41
Quarterly 4/1/19 3.03 3.24 2.87 3.02 7 3 2 0.06
Long Term Growth 10.50 11.00 10.00 10.50 2 -- -- --

Actuals -

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 9.70 9.71 -0.14
Annual 10/1/16 8.44 8.42 0.21
Annual 10/1/15 7.44 7.55 -1.40
Quarterly 4/1/18 2.86 2.84 0.81
Quarterly 1/1/18 2.79 2.51 11.23
Quarterly 10/1/17 2.65 2.64 0.27
Quarterly 7/1/17 2.64 2.58 2.47

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 60.61
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 90.87 90.87 90.87 90.87 1 -- 1 1.09
Annual 10/1/19 30.71 30.71 30.71 30.71 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/18 19.29 19.29 19.29 19.29 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 60.61 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 55.34 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 55.26 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 11.98
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 15.13 16.50 13.75 15.13 2 -- 1 -8.43
Annual 10/1/19 14.03 15.10 12.42 14.57 3 -- 1 -0.05
Annual 10/1/18 10.66 12.09 8.06 11.83 3 -- 2 -5.22

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 11.98 10.56 13.45
Annual 10/1/16 10.40 7.34 41.75
Annual 10/1/15 7.95 8.40 -5.36

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 0.06
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 3 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/18 0.08 0.09 0.06 0.08 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 0.06 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 0.06 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 0.06 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/17 0.03 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 550.60
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 884.09 925.40 838.00 882.67 6 2 2 2.81
Annual 10/1/19 803.57 828.90 772.00 801.51 10 4 5 1.77
Annual 10/1/18 723.39 727.82 700.00 726.45 10 6 2 2.33
Quarterly 7/1/18 190.39 196.30 186.00 190.00 7 2 4 -0.21
Quarterly 10/1/18 194.26 196.80 192.00 194.08 7 3 3 0.31
Quarterly 1/1/19 178.23 183.76 174.00 177.58 4 1 1 --
Quarterly 4/1/19 194.32 202.14 189.10 193.01 4 3 1 -0.54

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 550.60 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 478.93 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 414.55 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 180.20 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 162.70 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/17 152.70 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/17 144.10 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 739.00
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 1,027.24 1,050.35 1,006.00 1,026.30 4 1 -- 0.50
Annual 10/1/19 946.70 963.70 934.00 938.00 5 4 -- 0.72
Annual 10/1/18 865.24 909.00 842.45 854.75 4 3 1 -0.06
Quarterly 7/1/18 222.65 223.00 222.30 222.65 2 1 -- 1.06
Quarterly 10/1/18 226.05 229.10 223.00 226.05 2 -- 1 0.80

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 739.00 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 677.21 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 554.49 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 212.50 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 229.30 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/17 199.90 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/17 174.10 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 7.52
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 12.31 13.22 10.38 12.82 7 1 2 -2.41
Annual 10/1/19 10.49 11.85 8.28 10.34 10 2 6 -1.77
Annual 10/1/18 4.94 10.02 3.58 4.28 9 -- 9 -35.26
Quarterly 7/1/18 2.60 2.84 2.29 2.63 6 1 4 --
Quarterly 10/1/18 2.65 2.92 2.42 2.65 6 1 4 --
Quarterly 1/1/19 2.43 2.55 2.22 2.53 3 -- 1 --
Quarterly 4/1/19 2.64 2.83 2.42 2.68 3 1 2 --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 7.52 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 5.59 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 4.14 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 1.23 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 -2.50 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/17 1.78 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/17 2.09 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 1,083.90
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 645.96 914.00 305.00 718.88 3 2 -- 0.53
Annual 10/1/19 1,448.05 1,492.00 1,404.09 1,448.05 2 2 -- 0.16
Annual 10/1/18 1,941.43 2,006.86 1,876.00 1,941.43 2 2 -- 0.16

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 1,083.90 999.00 8.50
Annual 10/1/16 1,232.96 1,345.14 -8.34
Annual 10/1/15 1,333.53 1,238.60 7.66

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 481.10
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 706.35 731.40 680.00 706.76 8 1 5 -0.26
Annual 10/1/19 630.89 647.95 613.00 631.84 12 2 7 0.39
Annual 10/1/18 587.42 591.30 585.24 587.15 11 4 6 0.16
Quarterly 7/1/18 153.07 156.90 150.80 153.00 7 2 4 -0.80
Quarterly 10/1/18 154.54 158.00 151.80 154.00 7 2 4 0.41
Quarterly 1/1/19 134.42 138.00 132.14 133.13 3 -- 2 --
Quarterly 4/1/19 151.99 157.64 146.32 152.00 3 2 1 0.03

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 481.10 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 414.08 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 365.90 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 142.00 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 138.10 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/17 131.40 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/17 130.60 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 772.80 772.80 772.80 772.80 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 721.30 721.30 721.30 721.30 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/18 663.10 663.10 663.10 663.10 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 172.60 172.60 172.60 172.60 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 172.70 172.70 172.70 172.70 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 16.38
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 16.95 17.30 16.60 16.95 2 1 -- 2.06
Annual 10/1/19 15.28 17.50 13.10 15.25 4 2 -- 0.98
Annual 10/1/18 16.73 18.00 14.90 17.30 3 2 -- 6.97

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 16.38 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 15.43 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 13.97 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 2,139.00
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 2,877.24 3,026.30 2,832.80 2,866.25 10 5 4 0.30
Annual 10/1/19 2,700.30 2,810.70 2,664.80 2,695.50 16 5 10 -0.18
Annual 10/1/18 2,532.94 2,543.50 2,521.10 2,532.50 15 8 7 -0.05
Quarterly 7/1/18 654.07 662.00 648.00 654.30 13 1 9 -0.80
Quarterly 10/1/18 656.82 663.00 649.66 658.14 13 3 7 -0.31
Quarterly 1/1/19 630.09 635.24 625.80 630.25 8 2 5 -0.36
Quarterly 4/1/19 666.61 678.30 658.81 667.30 7 4 3 0.61

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 2,139.00 2,137.05 0.09
Annual 10/1/16 1,966.81 1,953.53 0.68
Annual 10/1/15 1,797.06 1,816.81 -1.09
Quarterly 4/1/18 631.30 627.11 0.67
Quarterly 1/1/18 590.00 583.48 1.12
Quarterly 10/1/17 561.50 558.30 0.57
Quarterly 7/1/17 556.00 552.76 0.59

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 19.62 16.88 1.16
FY1 18.35 36.48 0.50
FY2 16.46 18.64 0.88

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 21.84 8.17 1.13
FY2/FY1 6.89 45.70 0.73
FY3/FY2 6.89 45.70 0.73

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