Earnings Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 285.64
Price - 52 Week High: 365.68
Price - 52 Week Low: 236.68
Price Date (Latest): 7/14/20
Median Price Target: 328.27
Diff from Prev Close: 42.63
% Difference: 14.93

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.14

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information -

Last Actual (FY0): 12.35
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: 0.06
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 10.83
Yield (%): 0.02

Analyst Forecasts -

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 13.83 15.06 12.64 13.92 10 -- 3 -2.02
Annual 10/1/21 12.16 13.41 11.00 12.43 15 1 3 -0.76
Annual 10/1/20 8.56 8.98 7.12 8.68 14 -- 2 -0.32
Quarterly 1/1/21 2.77 3.15 1.84 2.84 7 -- 3 -2.12
Quarterly 4/1/21 3.00 3.26 2.61 3.06 7 -- 2 -2.15
Quarterly 7/1/20 1.51 1.79 1.19 1.54 13 1 1 -1.31
Quarterly 10/1/20 2.81 3.18 1.72 2.96 13 -- 2 -0.32

Actuals -

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 12.35 12.32 0.21
Annual 10/1/18 11.50 11.61 -0.97
Annual 10/1/17 9.70 9.71 -0.14
Quarterly 4/1/20 1.51 2.36 -35.89
Quarterly 1/1/20 2.69 2.71 -0.89
Quarterly 10/1/19 3.30 3.27 0.88
Quarterly 7/1/19 3.23 3.18 1.73

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 73.16
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 102.70 102.70 102.70 102.70 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/21 83.15 91.23 75.07 83.15 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 79.19 79.19 79.19 79.19 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 73.16 -- --
Annual 10/1/18 67.23 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 60.61 9.44 542.02

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 14.26
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 18.14 18.67 17.61 18.14 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/21 17.37 17.45 17.28 17.37 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 11.09 12.01 10.17 11.09 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 14.26 15.09 -5.50
Annual 10/1/18 13.46 9.53 41.31
Annual 10/1/17 11.98 10.56 13.45

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 0.06
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 3 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/21 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 4 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 0.07 0.09 0.06 0.06 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/21 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/20 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 0.06 0.08 -15.00
Annual 10/1/18 0.06 0.06 --
Annual 10/1/17 0.06 0.06 --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 731.90
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 806.16 895.74 675.00 814.08 7 -- 2 -1.42
Annual 10/1/21 721.29 803.27 608.90 734.20 8 -- 2 -1.01
Annual 10/1/20 516.09 531.70 484.70 515.10 7 -- 1 -0.08
Quarterly 1/1/21 176.06 185.08 167.55 175.80 4 -- 2 -1.96
Quarterly 4/1/21 179.90 195.60 154.10 184.95 4 -- 1 -2.04
Quarterly 7/1/20 96.16 108.00 82.57 96.83 7 1 -- 0.26
Quarterly 10/1/20 166.82 180.60 138.60 170.50 7 -- 1 -0.41

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 731.90 733.91 -0.27
Annual 10/1/18 700.60 679.84 3.05
Annual 10/1/17 550.60 549.06 0.28
Quarterly 4/1/20 91.30 131.14 -30.38
Quarterly 1/1/20 161.80 163.50 -1.04
Quarterly 10/1/19 196.80 198.57 -0.89
Quarterly 7/1/19 192.80 194.77 -1.01

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 866.90
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 973.17 1,024.80 922.00 972.94 4 -- 1 -1.60
Annual 10/1/21 877.28 955.70 816.00 859.00 5 -- 1 -1.29
Annual 10/1/20 678.11 738.00 644.36 665.05 4 -- 1 -0.11
Quarterly 7/1/20 126.63 137.00 117.00 125.90 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/20 194.03 212.00 162.60 207.50 3 -- -- --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 866.90 860.34 0.76
Annual 10/1/18 829.00 869.93 -4.70
Annual 10/1/17 739.00 670.66 10.19
Quarterly 4/1/20 126.20 164.20 -23.14
Quarterly 1/1/20 197.50 202.45 -2.45
Quarterly 10/1/19 232.30 234.30 -0.85
Quarterly 7/1/19 226.30 276.65 -18.20

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 9.33
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 11.41 13.21 9.74 11.51 7 -- 2 -2.41
Annual 10/1/21 9.60 11.56 8.00 9.41 8 -- 2 -1.98
Annual 10/1/20 5.39 7.91 3.57 5.40 9 1 1 --
Quarterly 1/1/21 2.00 2.61 1.12 2.26 3 -- 2 -4.01
Quarterly 4/1/21 2.24 2.48 2.06 2.18 3 -- 2 -10.16
Quarterly 7/1/20 0.96 1.25 0.50 0.98 6 2 -- 1.59
Quarterly 10/1/20 2.09 2.66 1.01 2.26 6 1 1 -0.71

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 9.33 9.43 -1.05
Annual 10/1/18 2.81 3.84 -26.87
Annual 10/1/17 7.52 8.15 -7.74
Quarterly 4/1/20 0.23 1.66 -86.14
Quarterly 1/1/20 1.82 2.18 -16.64
Quarterly 10/1/19 2.42 2.77 -12.58
Quarterly 7/1/19 2.40 2.70 -11.21

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 1,737.30
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 321.00 321.00 321.00 321.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/21 859.00 859.00 859.00 859.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 1,401.00 1,401.00 1,401.00 1,401.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 1,737.30 1,460.00 18.99
Annual 10/1/18 1,945.10 1,963.81 -0.95
Annual 10/1/17 1,083.90 999.00 8.50

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 617.60
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 688.74 753.20 626.00 696.30 8 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/21 613.44 668.40 568.60 622.70 9 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 428.84 443.50 398.90 431.10 8 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/21 149.65 158.70 137.07 153.19 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/21 148.64 162.34 130.30 153.29 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/20 76.89 89.50 66.76 76.77 7 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/20 142.72 153.30 117.50 146.90 7 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 617.60 616.79 0.13
Annual 10/1/18 571.90 576.17 -0.74
Annual 10/1/17 481.10 480.31 0.16
Quarterly 4/1/20 74.90 104.05 -28.02
Quarterly 1/1/20 133.60 135.66 -1.52
Quarterly 10/1/19 165.20 164.24 0.58
Quarterly 7/1/19 161.90 158.91 1.88

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 10/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 17.81
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 13.80 15.00 13.10 13.30 3 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/21 13.05 14.00 10.70 13.75 4 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 10.70 12.90 7.00 11.50 5 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 17.81 13.85 3.96
Annual 10/1/18 17.64 15.13 2.52
Annual 10/1/17 16.38 14.94 1.44

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 2,653.40
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 2,883.17 3,050.30 2,587.00 2,880.00 9 -- 1 -0.59
Annual 10/1/21 2,714.96 2,863.50 2,554.98 2,709.90 13 1 2 -0.39
Annual 10/1/20 2,372.94 2,441.00 2,320.29 2,374.30 13 -- 2 -0.04
Quarterly 1/1/21 669.37 694.50 653.70 665.74 6 -- 1 -0.58
Quarterly 4/1/21 662.21 694.74 614.60 674.05 6 -- 1 -1.18
Quarterly 7/1/20 535.00 545.00 529.00 534.35 12 1 -- 0.15
Quarterly 10/1/20 661.08 695.60 612.46 666.50 12 -- 1 -0.25

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 2,653.40 2,646.68 0.25
Annual 10/1/18 2,532.80 2,526.22 0.26
Annual 10/1/17 2,139.00 2,137.05 0.09
Quarterly 4/1/20 524.90 591.58 -11.27
Quarterly 1/1/20 646.20 647.74 -0.24
Quarterly 10/1/19 691.60 683.97 1.11
Quarterly 7/1/19 679.40 687.55 -1.19

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 23.13 33.38 23.48

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate -30.56 42.15 13.72

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