Earnings Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 331.91
Price - 52 Week High: 343.33
Price - 52 Week Low: 228.65
Price Date (Latest): 7/19/19
Median Price Target: 334.91
Diff from Prev Close: 3.00
% Difference: 0.90

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

1.80

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information -

Last Actual (FY0): 11.50
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 0.06
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 3.66
Yield (%): 0.02

Analyst Forecasts -

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 14.64 15.28 14.28 14.58 8 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 13.25 13.65 12.61 13.26 16 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 12.23 12.33 11.58 12.29 16 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 2.98 3.12 2.83 2.99 8 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 3.20 3.26 3.11 3.22 8 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 3.17 3.26 3.11 3.17 14 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 3.28 3.37 3.22 3.26 14 -- -- --

Actuals -

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 11.50 11.61 -0.97
Annual 10/1/17 9.70 9.71 -0.14
Annual 10/1/16 8.44 8.42 0.21
Quarterly 4/1/19 2.94 2.76 6.36
Quarterly 1/1/19 2.88 2.50 15.15
Quarterly 10/1/18 2.87 2.96 -3.14
Quarterly 7/1/18 3.00 3.07 -2.13

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 67.23
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 98.42 98.42 98.42 98.42 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 86.85 86.85 86.85 86.85 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 67.23 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 60.61 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 55.34 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 13.46
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 16.25 17.55 14.94 16.25 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 15.02 16.14 13.89 15.02 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 12.21 14.45 9.97 12.21 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 13.46 9.53 41.31
Annual 10/1/17 11.98 10.56 13.45
Annual 10/1/16 10.40 7.34 41.75

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 0.06
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 0.08 0.09 0.06 0.08 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 0.06 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 0.06 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 0.06 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 700.60
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 903.26 937.90 886.00 899.50 5 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 811.17 846.10 650.00 825.53 11 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 726.81 741.10 607.00 739.90 11 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 187.57 197.64 180.16 187.00 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 199.94 205.88 196.20 199.92 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 194.77 199.00 192.50 194.31 8 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 201.92 206.20 199.00 200.81 8 -- -- --

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 700.60 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 550.60 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 478.93 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 177.50 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 164.80 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 174.00 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 183.80 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 829.00
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 1,094.97 1,162.00 1,051.00 1,071.90 3 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 991.88 1,094.00 932.00 970.75 4 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 933.23 1,016.00 869.90 923.50 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 275.85 327.00 224.70 275.85 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 237.20 238.40 236.00 237.20 2 -- -- --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 829.00 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 739.00 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 677.21 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 211.30 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 197.00 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 208.30 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 215.10 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.81
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 12.73 14.07 11.83 12.41 7 -- 1 -0.09
Annual 10/1/20 11.33 13.23 10.04 11.00 11 1 -- 1.75
Annual 10/1/19 9.76 10.50 8.30 9.80 11 1 -- 0.32
Quarterly 1/1/20 2.58 2.88 2.22 2.70 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 2.78 2.95 2.55 2.88 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 2.70 2.95 2.54 2.65 7 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 2.81 3.04 2.59 2.82 7 -- -- --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 2.81 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 7.52 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 5.59 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 2.45 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 2.07 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 2.02 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 2.03 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 1,945.10
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 457.00 457.00 457.00 457.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 1,023.00 1,023.00 1,023.00 1,023.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 1,493.00 1,493.00 1,493.00 1,493.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 1,945.10 1,963.81 -0.95
Annual 10/1/17 1,083.90 999.00 8.50
Annual 10/1/16 1,232.96 1,345.14 -8.34

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 571.90
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 741.86 772.40 723.00 736.95 8 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 665.28 688.50 623.00 667.00 13 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 610.74 615.60 577.00 615.00 13 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 150.94 156.42 144.38 152.00 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 160.58 164.90 156.30 161.00 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 158.91 164.70 155.80 158.10 9 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 164.72 169.30 162.00 164.00 9 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 571.90 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 481.10 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 414.08 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 165.50 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 142.70 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 143.00 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 148.80 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 17.64
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 16.30 16.90 15.70 16.30 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 14.85 17.10 12.90 14.70 4 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 15.04 17.40 12.70 14.90 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 16.20 16.20 16.20 16.20 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 15.70 15.70 15.70 15.70 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 17.64 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 16.38 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 15.43 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 2,532.80
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 3,017.58 3,044.60 2,991.00 3,013.15 8 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 2,827.43 2,861.20 2,774.00 2,824.00 15 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 2,652.52 2,664.65 2,634.00 2,654.10 15 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 670.10 692.70 656.60 669.05 8 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 697.87 711.90 688.49 696.47 8 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 687.22 692.80 683.00 687.18 14 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 684.24 689.50 676.87 684.95 14 -- -- --

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 2,532.80 2,526.22 0.26
Annual 10/1/17 2,139.00 2,137.05 0.09
Annual 10/1/16 1,966.81 1,953.53 0.68
Quarterly 4/1/19 654.30 654.12 0.03
Quarterly 1/1/19 628.10 617.86 1.66
Quarterly 10/1/18 651.50 644.99 1.01
Quarterly 7/1/18 660.00 652.86 1.09

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 28.86 27.14 25.05

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 5.31 8.36 10.49

Copyright Thomson Reuters Corporation