STOCK INFORMATION

Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 253.19
Price - 52 Week High: 261.71
Price - 52 Week Low: 216.47
Price Date (Latest): 8/13/18
Median Price Target: 273.36
Diff from Prev Close: 20.17
% Difference: 7.97

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information -

Last Actual (FY0): 9.70
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: 0.06
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 13.16
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 6.25
Yield (%): 0.02

Analyst Forecasts -

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 14.06 14.37 13.84 14.10 9 -- 1 --
Annual 10/1/19 12.62 12.94 12.32 12.65 17 -- 1 --
Annual 10/1/18 11.81 11.88 11.69 11.80 17 -- 1 -0.01
Quarterly 7/1/18 3.07 3.14 2.98 3.07 15 -- 1 --
Quarterly 10/1/18 3.10 3.18 3.04 3.10 15 -- 1 --
Quarterly 1/1/19 2.77 2.89 2.64 2.77 8 -- 1 --
Quarterly 4/1/19 3.03 3.24 2.87 3.04 8 -- -- --
Long Term Growth 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals -

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 9.70 9.71 -0.14
Annual 10/1/16 8.44 8.42 0.21
Annual 10/1/15 7.44 7.55 -1.40
Quarterly 4/1/18 2.86 2.84 0.81
Quarterly 1/1/18 2.79 2.51 11.23
Quarterly 10/1/17 2.65 2.64 0.27
Quarterly 7/1/17 2.64 2.58 2.47

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 60.61
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 90.87 90.87 90.87 90.87 1 -- 1 1.09
Annual 10/1/19 30.71 30.71 30.71 30.71 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/18 19.29 19.29 19.29 19.29 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 60.61 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 55.34 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 55.26 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 11.98
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 15.13 16.50 13.75 15.13 2 -- 1 -8.43
Annual 10/1/19 14.03 15.10 12.42 14.57 3 -- 1 -0.05
Annual 10/1/18 10.66 12.09 8.06 11.83 3 -- 2 -5.22

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 11.98 10.56 13.45
Annual 10/1/16 10.40 7.34 41.75
Annual 10/1/15 7.95 8.40 -5.36

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 0.06
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 3 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/18 0.07 0.09 0.06 0.06 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 0.06 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 0.06 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 0.06 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/17 0.03 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 550.60
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 882.03 925.40 838.00 881.50 6 -- 1 --
Annual 10/1/19 802.46 828.90 772.00 797.35 10 1 1 -0.14
Annual 10/1/18 722.96 727.82 700.00 726.45 10 -- 1 --
Quarterly 7/1/18 190.39 196.30 186.00 190.00 7 2 4 -0.21
Quarterly 10/1/18 194.26 196.80 192.00 194.08 7 3 3 0.31
Quarterly 1/1/19 178.23 183.76 174.00 177.58 4 1 1 --
Quarterly 4/1/19 194.32 202.14 189.10 193.01 4 3 1 -0.54

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 550.60 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 478.93 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 414.55 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 180.20 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 162.70 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/17 152.70 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/17 144.10 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 739.00
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 1,023.55 1,035.58 1,006.00 1,026.30 4 -- 1 --
Annual 10/1/19 944.01 961.00 934.00 938.00 5 -- 1 --
Annual 10/1/18 863.99 909.00 837.46 857.50 5 -- 1 0.00
Quarterly 7/1/18 222.65 223.00 222.30 222.65 2 1 -- 1.06
Quarterly 10/1/18 226.05 229.10 223.00 226.05 2 -- 1 0.80

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 739.00 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 677.21 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 554.49 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 212.50 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 229.30 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/17 199.90 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/17 174.10 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 7.52
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 12.31 13.22 10.38 12.82 7 1 2 -2.41
Annual 10/1/19 10.49 11.85 8.28 10.34 10 3 4 --
Annual 10/1/18 5.25 10.02 3.59 4.37 10 1 -- 5.93
Quarterly 7/1/18 2.60 2.84 2.29 2.63 6 1 4 --
Quarterly 10/1/18 2.65 2.92 2.42 2.65 6 1 4 --
Quarterly 1/1/19 2.43 2.55 2.22 2.53 3 -- 1 --
Quarterly 4/1/19 2.64 2.83 2.42 2.68 3 1 2 --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 7.52 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 5.59 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 4.14 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 1.23 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 -2.50 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/17 1.78 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/17 2.09 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 1,083.90
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 650.41 914.00 305.00 732.22 3 1 -- --
Annual 10/1/19 1,449.53 1,492.00 1,407.06 1,449.53 2 1 -- --
Annual 10/1/18 1,938.26 2,000.52 1,876.00 1,938.26 2 -- 1 --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 1,083.90 999.00 8.50
Annual 10/1/16 1,232.96 1,345.14 -8.34
Annual 10/1/15 1,333.53 1,238.60 7.66

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 481.10
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 705.02 731.40 680.00 704.70 8 -- 1 --
Annual 10/1/19 630.09 647.95 613.00 630.90 12 1 1 -0.13
Annual 10/1/18 586.56 591.30 581.00 587.13 12 -- 1 -0.15
Quarterly 7/1/18 153.07 156.90 150.80 153.00 7 2 4 --
Quarterly 10/1/18 154.54 158.00 151.80 154.00 7 3 3 --
Quarterly 1/1/19 134.42 138.00 132.14 133.13 3 -- 2 --
Quarterly 4/1/19 151.99 157.64 146.32 152.00 3 2 1 --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 481.10 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 414.08 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 365.90 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 142.00 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 138.10 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/17 131.40 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/17 130.60 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 772.80 772.80 772.80 772.80 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 721.30 721.30 721.30 721.30 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/18 663.10 663.10 663.10 663.10 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 172.60 172.60 172.60 172.60 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 172.70 172.70 172.70 172.70 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 16.38
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 16.95 17.30 16.60 16.95 2 1 -- 2.06
Annual 10/1/19 15.28 17.50 13.10 15.25 4 2 -- 0.98
Annual 10/1/18 15.50 18.00 11.80 16.10 4 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 16.38 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 15.43 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 13.97 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 2,139.00
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 2,873.20 3,026.30 2,827.17 2,865.10 10 -- 1 --
Annual 10/1/19 2,697.94 2,810.70 2,660.17 2,693.55 16 -- 1 --
Annual 10/1/18 2,532.40 2,543.50 2,516.15 2,532.55 16 -- 1 0.02
Quarterly 7/1/18 653.61 662.00 645.44 654.30 13 -- 1 --
Quarterly 10/1/18 656.15 663.00 649.41 658.00 13 -- 1 --
Quarterly 1/1/19 628.94 635.11 625.80 628.35 8 -- 1 --
Quarterly 4/1/19 665.95 678.30 658.81 664.32 8 -- -- --

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 2,139.00 2,137.05 0.09
Annual 10/1/16 1,966.81 1,953.53 0.68
Annual 10/1/15 1,797.06 1,816.81 -1.09
Quarterly 4/1/18 631.30 627.11 0.67
Quarterly 1/1/18 590.00 583.48 1.12
Quarterly 10/1/17 561.50 558.30 0.57
Quarterly 7/1/17 556.00 552.76 0.59

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 21.43 17.28 1.24
FY1 20.06 32.14 0.62
FY2 18.01 18.29 0.98

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 21.78 4.84 1.16
FY2/FY1 6.85 39.63 0.77
FY3/FY2 6.85 39.63 0.77

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