STOCK INFORMATION

Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 268.68
Price - 52 Week High: 283.18
Price - 52 Week Low: 216.47
Price Date (Latest): 1/15/19
Median Price Target: 286.46
Diff from Prev Close: 17.78
% Difference: 6.62

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.06

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information -

Last Actual (FY0): 11.50
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 0.06
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 14.46
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 5.39
Yield (%): 0.02

Analyst Forecasts -

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 14.30 14.64 14.00 14.28 6 -- 2 -1.98
Annual 10/1/20 13.05 13.45 12.67 13.07 15 -- 3 -0.01
Annual 10/1/19 11.55 11.68 11.45 11.54 16 1 2 --
Quarterly 1/1/19 2.50 2.64 2.42 2.49 15 -- 11 -2.89
Quarterly 4/1/19 2.86 2.93 2.79 2.86 15 2 8 -0.79
Quarterly 7/1/19 3.09 3.18 2.95 3.09 15 -- 2 --
Quarterly 10/1/19 3.08 3.14 2.96 3.09 15 1 9 -2.05
Long Term Growth 15.00 15.00 15.00 15.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals -

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 11.50 11.61 -0.97
Annual 10/1/17 9.70 9.71 -0.14
Annual 10/1/16 8.44 8.42 0.21
Quarterly 10/1/18 2.87 2.96 -3.14
Quarterly 7/1/18 3.00 3.07 -2.13
Quarterly 4/1/18 2.86 2.84 0.81
Quarterly 1/1/18 2.79 2.51 11.23

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 67.23
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 102.00 102.00 102.00 102.00 1 -- -- 4.34
Annual 10/1/20 90.65 90.65 90.65 90.65 1 1 -- 3.54
Annual 10/1/19 30.71 30.71 30.71 30.71 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 80.72 80.72 80.72 80.72 1 -- -- 4.91

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 67.23 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 60.61 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 55.34 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 67.23 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 13.46
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 16.16 17.03 15.28 16.16 2 -- -- 5.42
Annual 10/1/20 14.91 15.57 14.25 14.91 2 -- 2 -4.02
Annual 10/1/19 14.92 18.43 11.41 14.92 2 1 1 5.29

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 13.46 9.53 41.31
Annual 10/1/17 11.98 10.56 13.45
Annual 10/1/16 10.40 7.34 41.75

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 0.06
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 0.06 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 0.06 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 0.06 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 700.60
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 847.50 930.20 736.10 875.00 7 1 2 0.00
Annual 10/1/20 798.43 847.01 675.00 811.76 12 -- 7 -0.33
Annual 10/1/19 722.28 751.36 597.70 744.20 13 -- 10 -0.10
Quarterly 1/1/19 157.30 170.20 129.00 160.75 10 -- 6 -8.71
Quarterly 4/1/19 176.49 190.00 141.80 181.93 10 -- 6 -6.01
Quarterly 7/1/19 190.72 203.20 160.00 198.19 10 -- 6 -5.78
Quarterly 10/1/19 191.26 202.10 161.00 199.35 10 -- 5 -5.22

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 700.60 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 550.60 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 478.93 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 174.00 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 183.80 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 180.20 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 162.70 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 829.00
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 1,076.66 1,148.00 1,033.00 1,048.97 3 -- -- -1.81
Annual 10/1/20 1,002.45 1,085.00 968.00 981.90 5 -- 4 -0.75
Annual 10/1/19 944.69 1,022.00 877.20 939.78 4 1 3 2.25
Quarterly 1/1/19 194.95 197.00 192.90 194.95 2 -- -- 18.75
Quarterly 4/1/19 216.90 219.00 214.80 216.90 2 -- -- 21.53
Quarterly 7/1/19 283.20 330.00 236.40 283.20 2 -- -- 34.36
Quarterly 10/1/19 233.55 234.00 233.10 233.55 2 -- -- 22.63

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 829.00 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 739.00 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 677.21 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 208.30 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 215.10 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 212.50 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 229.30 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.81
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 13.16 14.51 10.98 13.00 5 -- 2 --
Annual 10/1/20 11.19 12.72 9.02 11.34 10 -- 1 --
Annual 10/1/19 9.34 10.68 6.99 9.25 10 -- 1 --
Quarterly 1/1/19 2.09 2.48 1.72 2.09 8 -- 6 -7.51
Quarterly 4/1/19 2.42 2.84 2.08 2.43 8 1 5 -4.04
Quarterly 7/1/19 2.71 3.12 2.38 2.64 8 -- 6 -5.14
Quarterly 10/1/19 2.73 3.06 2.43 2.79 8 -- 6 -4.12

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 2.81 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 7.52 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 5.59 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 2.02 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 2.03 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 1.23 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 -2.50 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 1,945.10
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 223.00 223.00 223.00 223.00 1 -- -- -116.59
Annual 10/1/20 815.91 833.82 798.00 815.91 2 1 1 6.06
Annual 10/1/19 1,375.12 1,445.25 1,305.00 1,375.12 2 1 1 2.28
Quarterly 10/1/19 1,305.00 1,305.00 1,305.00 1,305.00 1 -- -- -17.62

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 1,945.10 1,963.81 -0.95
Annual 10/1/17 1,083.90 999.00 8.50
Annual 10/1/16 1,232.96 1,345.14 -8.34
Quarterly 10/1/18 1,945.10 1,965.00 -1.01

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 571.90
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 724.89 743.70 708.00 721.43 6 -- 2 -0.81
Annual 10/1/20 635.88 676.70 523.49 650.60 12 1 8 -0.33
Annual 10/1/19 558.49 582.10 448.00 577.50 13 -- 12 -0.59
Quarterly 1/1/19 118.62 129.60 97.11 124.00 9 -- 5 -9.31
Quarterly 4/1/19 135.52 146.10 105.60 142.91 9 -- 5 -6.51
Quarterly 7/1/19 147.33 159.30 121.30 154.00 9 -- 5 -4.56
Quarterly 10/1/19 148.08 157.30 120.97 154.90 9 -- 5 -4.08

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 571.90 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 481.10 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 414.08 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 143.00 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 148.80 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 142.00 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 138.10 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 772.80 772.80 772.80 772.80 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 721.30 721.30 721.30 721.30 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 17.64
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 15.10 15.10 15.10 15.10 1 -- -- -5.30
Annual 10/1/20 15.10 17.00 13.00 15.30 3 -- 3 -5.08
Annual 10/1/19 14.66 16.50 12.90 14.90 5 -- 3 -3.85

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 17.64 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 16.38 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 15.43 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 2,532.80
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 2,988.27 3,080.10 2,935.60 2,979.00 7 1 2 0.00
Annual 10/1/20 2,820.30 2,899.90 2,789.10 2,811.10 14 1 2 -0.03
Annual 10/1/19 2,644.63 2,660.00 2,631.08 2,646.28 15 1 2 0.03
Quarterly 1/1/19 617.43 628.60 605.00 619.00 13 1 9 -0.04
Quarterly 4/1/19 653.25 661.10 640.70 653.80 13 2 8 -0.05
Quarterly 7/1/19 689.80 704.00 676.10 689.00 13 2 8 -0.02
Quarterly 10/1/19 683.40 692.74 675.39 684.00 13 3 6 0.05

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 2,532.80 2,526.22 0.26
Annual 10/1/17 2,139.00 2,137.05 0.09
Annual 10/1/16 1,966.81 1,953.53 0.68
Quarterly 10/1/18 651.50 644.99 1.01
Quarterly 7/1/18 660.00 652.86 1.09
Quarterly 4/1/18 631.30 627.11 0.67
Quarterly 1/1/18 590.00 583.48 1.12

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 23.26 38.48 0.60
FY1 20.58 18.97 1.09
FY2 18.79 16.01 1.17

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 0.43 39.62 0.72
FY2/FY1 13.02 58.90 0.71
FY3/FY2 13.02 58.90 0.71

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