Earnings Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 282.05
Price - 52 Week High: 365.68
Price - 52 Week Low: 236.68
Price Date (Latest): 3/27/20
Median Price Target: 344.92
Diff from Prev Close: 62.87
% Difference: 22.29

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.00

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information -

Last Actual (FY0): 12.35
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: 0.06
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 10.83
Yield (%): 0.02

Analyst Forecasts -

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 15.68 16.35 14.78 15.75 9 5 1 -0.38
Annual 10/1/21 14.37 14.80 13.86 14.36 14 10 1 0.54
Annual 10/1/20 13.00 13.15 12.80 13.01 15 12 1 1.36
Quarterly 1/1/21 3.14 3.31 2.96 3.11 6 2 1 1.41
Quarterly 4/1/20 3.10 3.23 2.93 3.10 13 5 6 0.05
Quarterly 7/1/20 3.53 3.61 3.47 3.52 13 11 -- 2.59
Quarterly 10/1/20 3.69 3.80 3.61 3.70 13 11 -- 3.31

Actuals -

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 12.35 12.32 0.21
Annual 10/1/18 11.50 11.61 -0.97
Annual 10/1/17 9.70 9.71 -0.14
Quarterly 1/1/20 2.69 2.71 -0.89
Quarterly 10/1/19 3.30 3.27 0.88
Quarterly 7/1/19 3.23 3.18 1.73
Quarterly 4/1/19 2.94 2.76 6.36

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 73.16
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 109.49 109.49 109.49 109.49 1 1 -- 1.43
Annual 10/1/21 85.93 96.79 75.07 85.93 2 1 -- -9.84
Annual 10/1/20 85.54 85.54 85.54 85.54 1 1 -- 1.72

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 73.16 -- --
Annual 10/1/18 67.23 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 60.61 9.44 542.02

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 14.26
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 19.36 19.36 19.36 19.36 1 1 -- 0.31
Annual 10/1/21 17.92 18.16 17.67 17.92 2 1 -- 0.25
Annual 10/1/20 15.42 16.16 14.68 15.42 2 -- 1 -0.80

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 14.26 15.09 -5.50
Annual 10/1/18 13.46 9.53 41.31
Annual 10/1/17 11.98 10.56 13.45

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 0.06
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 3 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/21 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 4 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 0.08 0.12 0.06 0.06 4 -- -- -16.67
Quarterly 4/1/20 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/20 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 0.06 0.08 -15.00
Annual 10/1/18 0.06 0.06 --
Annual 10/1/17 0.06 0.06 --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 731.90
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 906.79 951.03 771.40 937.70 6 3 2 2.05
Annual 10/1/21 823.01 873.20 673.00 851.62 10 2 7 -2.51
Annual 10/1/20 756.98 779.17 616.70 775.32 9 1 7 -2.74
Quarterly 1/1/21 185.97 196.49 179.96 183.72 4 -- 4 -0.79
Quarterly 4/1/20 184.71 193.82 177.80 183.71 7 2 5 -0.27
Quarterly 7/1/20 205.99 214.20 172.40 209.93 8 7 1 -0.80
Quarterly 10/1/20 214.37 224.40 181.40 217.95 8 7 1 1.24

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 731.90 733.91 -0.27
Annual 10/1/18 700.60 679.84 3.05
Annual 10/1/17 550.60 549.06 0.28
Quarterly 1/1/20 161.80 163.50 -1.04
Quarterly 10/1/19 196.80 198.57 -0.89
Quarterly 7/1/19 192.80 194.77 -1.01
Quarterly 4/1/19 177.50 173.68 2.20

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 866.90
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 1,135.00 1,135.00 1,135.00 1,135.00 1 -- 1 -1.05
Annual 10/1/21 1,026.05 1,034.00 1,018.10 1,026.05 2 1 1 -1.30
Annual 10/1/20 928.55 937.00 920.10 928.55 2 1 1 -1.50
Quarterly 4/1/20 221.15 229.00 213.30 221.15 2 -- 2 -2.51
Quarterly 7/1/20 249.35 249.70 249.00 249.35 2 2 -- 1.46
Quarterly 10/1/20 258.45 259.90 257.00 258.45 2 2 -- 1.97

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 866.90 860.34 0.76
Annual 10/1/18 829.00 869.93 -4.70
Annual 10/1/17 739.00 670.66 10.19
Quarterly 1/1/20 197.50 202.45 -2.45
Quarterly 10/1/19 232.30 234.30 -0.85
Quarterly 7/1/19 226.30 276.65 -18.20
Quarterly 4/1/19 211.30 209.05 1.08

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 9.33
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 13.72 15.55 11.92 13.88 7 2 1 -1.53
Annual 10/1/21 12.08 12.70 11.32 12.13 9 6 -- 0.67
Annual 10/1/20 10.30 11.02 9.16 10.34 9 -- 8 -1.13
Quarterly 1/1/21 2.56 2.62 2.50 2.56 4 2 1 0.79
Quarterly 4/1/20 2.54 2.86 2.41 2.49 6 3 3 -0.33
Quarterly 7/1/20 2.99 3.12 2.76 3.00 6 6 -- 3.05
Quarterly 10/1/20 3.14 3.27 2.90 3.17 6 6 -- 3.98

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 9.33 9.43 -1.05
Annual 10/1/18 2.81 3.84 -26.87
Annual 10/1/17 7.52 8.15 -7.74
Quarterly 1/1/20 1.82 2.18 -16.64
Quarterly 10/1/19 2.42 2.77 -12.58
Quarterly 7/1/19 2.40 2.70 -11.21
Quarterly 4/1/19 2.45 2.22 10.36

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 1,737.30
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 150.00 150.00 150.00 150.00 1 -- 1 -5.66
Annual 10/1/21 722.00 722.00 722.00 722.00 1 -- 1 -0.14
Annual 10/1/20 1,223.00 1,223.00 1,223.00 1,223.00 1 1 -- 0.66

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 1,737.30 1,460.00 18.99
Annual 10/1/18 1,945.10 1,963.81 -0.95
Annual 10/1/17 1,083.90 999.00 8.50

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 617.60
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 795.43 802.20 790.39 794.55 6 4 2 0.52
Annual 10/1/21 716.70 731.40 701.00 716.40 9 6 2 -0.20
Annual 10/1/20 647.31 650.40 636.00 648.84 9 8 -- 0.88
Quarterly 1/1/21 155.49 163.12 147.86 155.50 3 -- 3 -0.46
Quarterly 4/1/20 153.39 160.84 146.70 152.52 7 2 4 -0.73
Quarterly 7/1/20 176.41 179.70 173.34 175.50 7 7 -- 2.36
Quarterly 10/1/20 185.02 189.80 179.77 185.20 7 7 -- 3.17

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 617.60 616.79 0.13
Annual 10/1/18 571.90 576.17 -0.74
Annual 10/1/17 481.10 480.31 0.16
Quarterly 1/1/20 133.60 135.66 -1.52
Quarterly 10/1/19 165.20 164.24 0.58
Quarterly 7/1/19 161.90 158.91 1.88
Quarterly 4/1/19 146.70 134.21 9.30

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 938.44 938.44 938.44 938.44 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 194.09 194.09 194.09 194.09 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/20 210.06 210.06 210.06 210.06 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/20 219.83 219.83 219.83 219.83 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 17.81
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 15.20 15.20 15.20 15.20 1 -- -- -1.30
Annual 10/1/21 14.88 16.70 13.50 14.65 4 -- -- -0.17
Annual 10/1/20 13.42 16.80 8.90 13.20 5 -- -- -0.15

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 17.81 13.85 3.96
Annual 10/1/18 17.64 15.13 2.52
Annual 10/1/17 16.38 14.94 1.44

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 2,653.40
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 3,149.56 3,199.70 2,995.80 3,172.98 8 3 3 -0.65
Annual 10/1/21 2,974.55 2,998.10 2,937.00 2,976.55 12 6 5 -0.09
Annual 10/1/20 2,795.42 2,813.30 2,779.20 2,796.00 13 6 6 -0.01
Quarterly 1/1/21 690.49 696.30 681.40 694.31 5 3 1 -0.33
Quarterly 4/1/20 679.35 700.30 667.04 677.20 12 3 9 -1.34
Quarterly 7/1/20 726.50 733.82 713.50 727.85 12 10 1 0.53
Quarterly 10/1/20 744.35 752.80 736.89 744.60 12 9 2 0.92

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 2,653.40 2,646.68 0.25
Annual 10/1/18 2,532.80 2,526.22 0.26
Annual 10/1/17 2,139.00 2,137.05 0.09
Quarterly 1/1/20 646.20 647.74 -0.24
Quarterly 10/1/19 691.60 683.97 1.11
Quarterly 7/1/19 679.40 687.55 -1.19
Quarterly 4/1/19 654.30 654.12 0.03

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 22.84 21.69 19.62

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 5.52 10.53 9.13

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