Earnings Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 292.51
Price - 52 Week High: 344.32
Price - 52 Week Low: 228.65
Price Date (Latest): 10/14/19
Median Price Target: 345.69
Diff from Prev Close: 53.18
% Difference: 18.18

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

1.80

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information -

Last Actual (FY0): 11.50
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 0.06
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 3.66
Yield (%): 0.02

Analyst Forecasts -

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 14.56 15.15 14.18 14.47 9 1 1 -0.01
Annual 10/1/20 13.16 13.33 12.94 13.17 16 1 3 -0.07
Annual 10/1/19 12.32 12.35 12.30 12.32 16 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 2.99 3.14 2.84 3.00 9 1 -- 0.04
Quarterly 4/1/20 3.21 3.29 3.10 3.21 9 1 -- 0.07
Quarterly 7/1/20 3.44 3.48 3.38 3.45 9 1 -- 0.13
Quarterly 10/1/19 3.26 3.29 3.23 3.27 14 -- -- --

Actuals -

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 11.50 11.61 -0.97
Annual 10/1/17 9.70 9.71 -0.14
Annual 10/1/16 8.44 8.42 0.21
Quarterly 7/1/19 3.23 3.18 1.73
Quarterly 4/1/19 2.94 2.76 6.36
Quarterly 1/1/19 2.88 2.50 15.15
Quarterly 10/1/18 2.87 2.96 -3.14

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 67.23
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 98.78 98.78 98.78 98.78 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 87.35 87.35 87.35 87.35 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 67.23 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 60.61 9.44 542.02
Annual 10/1/16 55.34 3.55 1,458.93

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 13.46
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 17.27 17.40 17.13 17.27 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 15.90 15.93 15.86 15.90 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 13.29 15.04 11.54 13.29 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 13.46 9.53 41.31
Annual 10/1/17 11.98 10.56 13.45
Annual 10/1/16 10.40 7.34 41.75

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 0.06
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 0.08 0.09 0.06 0.08 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 0.06 0.06 --
Annual 10/1/17 0.06 0.06 --
Annual 10/1/16 0.06 0.06 --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 700.60
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 890.77 924.50 862.60 886.00 7 -- 1 -0.22
Annual 10/1/20 816.60 836.63 794.50 816.00 10 -- 1 -0.13
Annual 10/1/19 733.62 734.80 732.60 733.75 10 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 187.89 199.34 179.22 188.45 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 200.12 203.00 196.56 200.66 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/20 212.57 213.59 210.70 212.98 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 198.49 199.70 197.20 198.65 8 -- -- --

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 700.60 679.84 3.05
Annual 10/1/17 550.60 549.06 0.28
Annual 10/1/16 478.93 464.24 3.17
Quarterly 7/1/19 192.80 194.77 -1.01
Quarterly 4/1/19 177.50 173.68 2.20
Quarterly 1/1/19 164.80 160.28 2.82
Quarterly 10/1/18 174.00 183.28 -5.06

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 829.00
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 1,056.68 1,063.50 1,043.00 1,060.12 4 -- 1 -0.33
Annual 10/1/20 963.88 978.00 951.50 963.01 4 -- 1 -0.27
Annual 10/1/19 862.21 870.00 850.53 864.15 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 233.20 234.00 232.40 233.20 2 -- -- --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 829.00 869.93 -4.70
Annual 10/1/17 739.00 670.66 10.19
Annual 10/1/16 677.21 648.05 4.50
Quarterly 7/1/19 226.30 276.65 -18.20
Quarterly 4/1/19 211.30 209.05 1.08
Quarterly 1/1/19 197.00 194.95 1.05
Quarterly 10/1/18 208.30 215.10 -3.16

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.81
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 12.58 14.10 11.59 12.39 8 1 1 -0.01
Annual 10/1/20 11.06 12.44 10.17 10.99 11 1 1 --
Annual 10/1/19 9.46 10.00 8.39 9.60 11 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 2.57 2.88 2.22 2.63 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 2.77 2.99 2.51 2.80 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/20 3.01 3.31 2.78 2.96 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 2.79 3.09 2.52 2.77 7 -- -- --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 2.81 3.84 -26.87
Annual 10/1/17 7.52 8.15 -7.74
Annual 10/1/16 5.59 6.24 -10.42
Quarterly 7/1/19 2.40 2.70 -11.21
Quarterly 4/1/19 2.45 2.22 10.36
Quarterly 1/1/19 2.07 2.01 3.06
Quarterly 10/1/18 2.02 2.43 -16.77

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 1,945.10
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 444.00 444.00 444.00 444.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 1,003.00 1,003.00 1,003.00 1,003.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 1,463.00 1,463.00 1,463.00 1,463.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 1,945.10 1,963.81 -0.95
Annual 10/1/17 1,083.90 999.00 8.50
Annual 10/1/16 1,232.96 1,345.14 -8.34

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 571.90
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 737.68 763.40 720.50 735.70 8 1 1 -0.01
Annual 10/1/20 661.85 670.98 641.00 663.50 12 1 1 0.00
Annual 10/1/19 615.79 617.00 611.30 616.30 12 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 151.17 157.67 144.86 151.10 6 1 -- 0.07
Quarterly 4/1/20 160.18 163.00 155.10 161.08 6 1 -- 0.09
Quarterly 7/1/20 172.94 177.40 169.70 173.35 6 1 -- 0.19
Quarterly 10/1/19 163.60 164.30 162.10 163.90 9 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 571.90 576.17 -0.74
Annual 10/1/17 481.10 480.31 0.16
Annual 10/1/16 414.08 412.84 0.30
Quarterly 7/1/19 161.90 158.91 1.88
Quarterly 4/1/19 146.70 134.21 9.30
Quarterly 1/1/19 142.70 124.86 14.29
Quarterly 10/1/18 143.00 142.76 0.17

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 17.64
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 16.10 16.70 15.50 16.10 2 -- -- -0.31
Annual 10/1/20 14.68 16.40 13.10 14.60 4 -- -- -0.34
Annual 10/1/19 13.62 17.40 8.90 12.70 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 15.70 15.70 15.70 15.70 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 17.64 15.13 2.52
Annual 10/1/17 16.38 14.94 1.44
Annual 10/1/16 15.43 13.16 2.27
Quarterly 7/1/19 18.10 16.20 1.90

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 2,532.80
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 3,004.34 3,050.30 2,977.70 3,003.90 9 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 2,821.91 2,866.30 2,802.20 2,816.46 15 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 2,646.69 2,659.00 2,639.90 2,646.20 15 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 667.40 692.60 652.70 666.40 9 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 697.48 714.20 688.70 697.00 9 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/20 724.96 732.30 720.80 724.00 9 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 684.03 686.70 678.10 684.60 14 -- -- --

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 2,532.80 2,526.22 0.26
Annual 10/1/17 2,139.00 2,137.05 0.09
Annual 10/1/16 1,966.81 1,953.53 0.68
Quarterly 7/1/19 679.40 687.55 -1.19
Quarterly 4/1/19 654.30 654.12 0.03
Quarterly 1/1/19 628.10 617.86 1.66
Quarterly 10/1/18 651.50 644.99 1.01

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 25.44 23.75 22.22

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 6.06 6.87 10.65

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