STOCK INFORMATION

Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 225.22
Price - 52 Week High: 260.26
Price - 52 Week Low: 197.50
Price Date (Latest): 4/20/18
Median Price Target: 270.54
Diff from Prev Close: 45.32
% Difference: 20.12

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.06

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information -

Last Actual (FY0): 9.70
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: 0.06
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 13.72
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 6.61
Yield (%): 0.03

Analyst Forecasts -

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 14.15 14.39 13.84 14.16 8 -- -- 0.11
Annual 10/1/19 12.71 12.98 12.50 12.70 17 -- 1 -0.06
Annual 10/1/18 11.83 11.94 11.74 11.82 17 -- 1 -0.00
Quarterly 4/1/18 2.84 2.86 2.81 2.84 14 -- -- 0.03
Quarterly 7/1/18 3.09 3.27 3.02 3.08 14 -- -- 0.02
Quarterly 10/1/18 3.11 3.18 2.94 3.13 14 -- -- 0.05
Quarterly 1/1/19 2.80 2.88 2.69 2.82 7 -- -- 0.20
Long Term Growth 11.00 11.00 11.00 11.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals -

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 9.70 9.71 -0.14
Annual 10/1/16 8.44 8.42 0.21
Annual 10/1/15 7.44 7.55 -1.40
Quarterly 1/1/18 2.79 2.51 11.23
Quarterly 10/1/17 2.65 2.64 0.27
Quarterly 7/1/17 2.64 2.58 2.47
Quarterly 4/1/17 2.50 2.24 11.38

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 60.61
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 92.72 92.72 92.72 92.72 1 -- -- 12.37
Annual 10/1/19 30.71 30.71 30.71 30.71 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/18 19.29 19.29 19.29 19.29 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 60.61 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 55.34 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 55.26 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 11.98
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 16.53 16.53 16.53 16.53 1 1 -- 1.03
Annual 10/1/19 14.08 15.10 12.56 14.57 3 2 1 4.12
Annual 10/1/18 11.26 12.09 9.84 11.85 3 1 2 -4.35

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 11.98 10.56 13.45
Annual 10/1/16 10.40 7.34 41.75
Annual 10/1/15 7.95 8.40 -5.36

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 0.06
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 3 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/18 0.07 0.09 0.06 0.06 3 -- 1 -7.14
Quarterly 4/1/18 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 0.06 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 0.06 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 0.06 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/17 0.03 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/17 0.03 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 550.60
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 882.00 916.00 838.00 881.20 5 -- -- 0.19
Annual 10/1/19 801.86 828.37 772.00 802.70 10 -- -- 0.10
Annual 10/1/18 721.03 727.53 695.30 725.74 9 -- -- 0.04
Quarterly 4/1/18 177.33 181.10 174.00 176.80 7 3 3 1.32
Quarterly 7/1/18 190.78 202.60 186.00 189.94 7 5 1 3.96
Quarterly 10/1/18 193.80 198.70 189.60 193.20 7 5 -- 3.96
Quarterly 1/1/19 178.24 182.71 174.00 178.13 4 2 -- 6.87

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 550.60 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 478.93 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 414.55 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 162.70 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/17 152.70 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/17 144.10 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/17 139.90 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 739.00
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 1,024.06 1,039.17 1,006.00 1,027.00 3 -- -- 0.35
Annual 10/1/19 940.93 960.00 930.90 938.00 5 -- -- 0.05
Annual 10/1/18 866.94 903.00 851.00 860.19 5 -- -- -0.19
Quarterly 4/1/18 211.40 212.80 210.00 211.40 2 -- 2 --
Quarterly 7/1/18 221.80 223.00 220.60 221.80 2 1 -- 0.05
Quarterly 10/1/18 225.75 226.50 225.00 225.75 2 2 -- 0.44

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 739.00 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 677.21 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 554.49 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 229.30 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/17 199.90 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/17 174.10 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/17 169.40 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 7.52
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 12.82 14.09 11.31 13.14 7 5 1 2.18
Annual 10/1/19 10.69 12.13 9.15 10.70 10 4 4 -3.57
Annual 10/1/18 6.69 10.39 4.45 5.88 10 -- 7 -49.21
Quarterly 4/1/18 2.45 2.69 2.17 2.53 6 2 2 -3.91
Quarterly 7/1/18 2.66 2.91 2.41 2.71 6 2 2 -1.44
Quarterly 10/1/18 2.68 2.94 2.47 2.64 6 2 2 -4.11
Quarterly 1/1/19 2.44 2.57 2.22 2.53 3 -- 1 6.15

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 7.52 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 5.59 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 4.14 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 -2.50 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/17 1.78 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/17 2.09 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/17 2.12 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 1,083.90
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 594.89 782.00 305.00 697.68 3 -- -- 7.93
Annual 10/1/19 1,377.16 1,391.32 1,363.00 1,377.16 2 -- -- 5.36
Annual 10/1/18 1,872.75 1,996.50 1,749.00 1,872.75 2 -- -- 3.64

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 1,083.90 999.00 8.50
Annual 10/1/16 1,232.96 1,345.14 -8.34
Annual 10/1/15 1,333.53 1,238.60 7.66

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 481.10
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 709.19 729.60 680.00 710.14 7 -- -- 0.12
Annual 10/1/19 628.91 654.10 584.95 632.00 12 -- -- 0.07
Annual 10/1/18 587.09 589.00 581.00 587.55 11 -- -- 0.03
Quarterly 4/1/18 140.84 142.40 139.31 141.00 7 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 154.72 162.20 150.50 154.52 7 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 154.34 158.00 146.00 155.99 7 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 135.40 138.00 133.68 134.53 3 1 1 --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 481.10 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 414.08 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 365.90 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/18 138.10 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/17 131.40 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/17 130.60 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/17 123.60 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 772.80 772.80 772.80 772.80 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 721.30 721.30 721.30 721.30 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/18 663.10 663.10 663.10 663.10 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 162.30 162.30 162.30 162.30 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 172.60 172.60 172.60 172.60 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 172.70 172.70 172.70 172.70 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 16.38
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 16.20 16.20 16.20 16.20 1 -- 1 -16.67
Annual 10/1/19 15.03 17.00 13.10 15.00 4 2 1 -10.26
Annual 10/1/18 15.53 17.70 11.80 17.10 3 1 1 -8.80

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 16.38 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 15.43 -- --
Annual 10/1/15 13.97 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 2,139.00
FY0 End Date: 10/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 2,868.39 2,913.35 2,837.30 2,864.00 9 -- -- 0.16
Annual 10/1/19 2,704.25 2,743.70 2,680.40 2,700.00 16 -- -- 0.09
Annual 10/1/18 2,534.19 2,557.83 2,515.90 2,533.35 16 -- 1 0.06
Quarterly 4/1/18 626.97 640.13 618.00 624.70 12 -- -- 0.06
Quarterly 7/1/18 659.02 668.60 650.00 658.45 12 -- -- 0.12
Quarterly 10/1/18 658.72 673.21 636.20 659.40 12 -- -- 0.12
Quarterly 1/1/19 633.53 645.22 617.36 634.55 8 -- -- 0.19

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/17 2,139.00 2,137.05 0.09
Annual 10/1/16 1,966.81 1,953.53 0.68
Annual 10/1/15 1,797.06 1,816.81 -1.09
Quarterly 1/1/18 590.00 583.48 1.12
Quarterly 10/1/17 561.50 558.30 0.57
Quarterly 7/1/17 556.00 552.76 0.59
Quarterly 4/1/17 522.40 520.66 0.33

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 19.04 17.20 1.11
FY1 17.71 35.43 0.50
FY2 15.92 18.14 0.88

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 21.93 21.03 1.01
FY2/FY1 7.49 41.53 0.76
FY3/FY2 7.49 41.53 0.76

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