STOCK INFORMATION

Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 294.58
Price - 52 Week High: 299.00
Price - 52 Week Low: 216.47
Price Date (Latest): 3/20/19
Median Price Target: 312.50
Diff from Prev Close: 17.92
% Difference: 6.08

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

1.94

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information -

Last Actual (FY0): 11.50
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 0.06
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 13.93
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 5.68
Yield (%): 0.02

Analyst Forecasts -

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 14.61 15.10 14.25 14.54 8 6 1 1.01
Annual 10/1/20 13.19 13.65 12.61 13.20 17 12 2 0.73
Annual 10/1/19 11.99 12.15 11.58 12.01 17 16 -- 3.53
Quarterly 4/1/19 2.77 2.81 2.72 2.76 15 -- 15 -3.79
Quarterly 7/1/19 3.17 3.26 3.10 3.17 15 14 1 2.55
Quarterly 10/1/19 3.18 3.28 3.14 3.17 15 15 -- 3.07
Quarterly 1/1/20 2.99 3.15 2.82 2.97 9 5 1 1.17
Long Term Growth 15.00 15.00 15.00 15.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals -

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 11.50 11.61 -0.97
Annual 10/1/17 9.70 9.71 -0.14
Annual 10/1/16 8.44 8.42 0.21
Quarterly 1/1/19 2.88 2.50 15.15
Quarterly 10/1/18 2.87 2.96 -3.14
Quarterly 7/1/18 3.00 3.07 -2.13
Quarterly 4/1/18 2.86 2.84 0.81

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 67.23
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 98.32 98.32 98.32 98.32 1 -- 1 -3.41
Annual 10/1/20 86.77 86.77 86.77 86.77 1 -- 1 -3.85
Annual 10/1/19 30.71 30.71 30.71 30.71 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 80.72 80.72 80.72 80.72 1 -- -- 4.91

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 67.23 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 60.61 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 55.34 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 67.23 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 13.46
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 16.26 17.50 15.02 16.26 2 1 1 0.40
Annual 10/1/20 14.96 16.00 13.92 14.96 2 1 1 -0.20
Annual 10/1/19 13.19 16.38 10.00 13.19 2 -- 2 -14.22

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 13.46 9.53 41.31
Annual 10/1/17 11.98 10.56 13.45
Annual 10/1/16 10.40 7.34 41.75

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 0.06
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 3 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 3 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 0.06 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 0.06 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 0.06 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 700.60
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 874.98 919.60 751.00 889.14 6 5 1 0.89
Annual 10/1/20 803.72 857.90 650.00 827.38 12 9 2 -0.76
Annual 10/1/19 731.52 750.00 607.00 744.24 12 5 4 -1.73
Quarterly 4/1/19 173.68 181.00 145.00 175.49 9 -- 9 -4.01
Quarterly 7/1/19 196.22 203.59 170.00 198.70 9 6 3 0.96
Quarterly 10/1/19 198.73 206.47 168.00 204.00 9 8 1 1.91
Quarterly 1/1/20 191.16 198.82 182.98 193.00 5 3 1 --

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 700.60 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 550.60 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 478.93 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 164.80 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 174.00 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 183.80 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 180.20 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 829.00
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 1,090.74 1,165.00 1,042.00 1,065.22 3 3 -- 1.41
Annual 10/1/20 993.61 1,100.00 932.00 974.16 5 4 -- -0.75
Annual 10/1/19 925.97 1,026.00 869.66 881.00 5 1 2 -2.18
Quarterly 4/1/19 209.05 211.00 207.10 209.05 2 -- 2 --
Quarterly 7/1/19 283.60 334.00 233.20 283.60 2 1 1 -0.39
Quarterly 10/1/19 238.60 240.00 237.20 238.60 2 2 -- 1.70

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 829.00 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 739.00 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 677.21 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 197.00 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 208.30 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 215.10 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 212.50 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.81
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 12.64 14.20 11.07 12.38 5 3 2 --
Annual 10/1/20 11.02 12.55 9.27 10.90 11 5 4 -0.90
Annual 10/1/19 9.38 10.51 7.55 9.37 11 6 3 0.28
Quarterly 4/1/19 2.22 2.55 2.01 2.12 7 -- 7 --
Quarterly 7/1/19 2.68 2.96 2.44 2.62 7 5 1 --
Quarterly 10/1/19 2.72 2.95 2.47 2.68 7 5 2 --
Quarterly 1/1/20 2.61 2.97 2.27 2.74 5 3 1 --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 2.81 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 7.52 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 5.59 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 2.07 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 2.02 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 2.03 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 1.23 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 1,945.10
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 353.00 353.00 353.00 353.00 1 1 -- --
Annual 10/1/20 919.75 923.00 916.51 919.75 2 2 -- 22.34
Annual 10/1/19 1,477.89 1,529.77 1,426.00 1,477.89 2 2 -- 12.00
Quarterly 10/1/19 1,305.00 1,305.00 1,305.00 1,305.00 1 -- -- -17.62

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 1,945.10 1,963.81 -0.95
Annual 10/1/17 1,083.90 999.00 8.50
Annual 10/1/16 1,232.96 1,345.14 -8.34
Quarterly 10/1/18 1,945.10 1,965.00 -1.01

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 571.90
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 721.09 753.80 627.80 731.29 8 4 1 -1.16
Annual 10/1/20 653.24 687.80 541.10 663.00 13 8 1 0.29
Annual 10/1/19 584.59 604.00 451.40 600.40 14 10 -- 1.08
Quarterly 4/1/19 134.21 142.20 100.30 138.00 9 -- 8 -6.78
Quarterly 7/1/19 153.22 160.00 123.30 155.60 9 6 2 -0.55
Quarterly 10/1/19 156.27 164.49 124.60 160.00 9 7 1 0.47
Quarterly 1/1/20 144.35 156.20 115.40 153.00 5 2 -- --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 571.90 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 481.10 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 414.08 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 142.70 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 143.00 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 148.80 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 142.00 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/20 772.80 772.80 772.80 772.80 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/19 721.30 721.30 721.30 721.30 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 17.64
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 15.80 15.80 15.80 15.80 1 1 -- 3.80
Annual 10/1/20 14.85 17.20 12.90 14.65 4 3 -- -2.13
Annual 10/1/19 14.58 17.10 11.00 14.90 5 2 1 -3.22

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 17.64 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 16.38 -- --
Annual 10/1/16 15.43 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 2,532.80
FY0 End Date: 10/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/21 3,014.05 3,046.60 2,982.00 3,014.70 8 7 1 0.56
Annual 10/1/20 2,833.13 2,866.82 2,774.00 2,836.87 16 12 2 0.40
Annual 10/1/19 2,656.86 2,672.88 2,634.00 2,654.90 16 14 1 0.46
Quarterly 4/1/19 654.00 661.00 640.30 654.24 14 7 4 0.11
Quarterly 7/1/19 689.95 697.70 685.00 688.87 14 6 6 0.00
Quarterly 10/1/19 686.38 698.12 677.90 685.00 14 10 2 0.45
Quarterly 1/1/20 670.26 697.80 660.58 666.98 8 4 1 1.18

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/18 2,532.80 2,526.22 0.26
Annual 10/1/17 2,139.00 2,137.05 0.09
Annual 10/1/16 1,966.81 1,953.53 0.68
Quarterly 1/1/19 628.10 617.86 1.66
Quarterly 10/1/18 651.50 644.99 1.01
Quarterly 7/1/18 660.00 652.86 1.09
Quarterly 4/1/18 631.30 627.11 0.67

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 24.57 29.24 0.84
FY1 22.34 19.90 1.12
FY2 20.16 16.61 1.21

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 4.24 47.72 0.71
FY2/FY1 10.00 41.52 0.78
FY3/FY2 10.00 41.52 0.78

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