Earnings Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 349.06
Price - 52 Week High: 349.79
Price - 52 Week Low: 263.76
Price Date (Latest): 1/17/20
Median Price Target: 343.58
Diff from Prev Close: -5.48
% Difference: -1.57

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

1.86

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information -

Last Actual (FY0): 12.35
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: 0.06
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 10.83
Yield (%): 0.02

Analyst Forecasts -

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 15.69 16.35 15.40 15.59 6 -- -- -0.18
Annual 10/1/21 14.30 14.63 14.07 14.27 13 -- 1 -0.06
Annual 10/1/20 12.82 12.93 12.62 12.83 15 -- -- -0.01
Quarterly 1/1/20 2.71 2.75 2.68 2.71 13 -- -- -0.11
Quarterly 4/1/20 3.10 3.22 3.02 3.10 13 -- -- -0.01
Quarterly 7/1/20 3.43 3.48 3.35 3.43 13 -- -- 0.05
Quarterly 10/1/20 3.57 3.66 3.50 3.57 13 -- -- 0.05

Actuals -

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 12.35 12.32 0.21
Annual 10/1/18 11.50 11.61 -0.97
Annual 10/1/17 9.70 9.71 -0.14
Quarterly 10/1/19 3.30 3.27 0.88
Quarterly 7/1/19 3.23 3.18 1.73
Quarterly 4/1/19 2.94 2.76 6.36
Quarterly 1/1/19 2.88 2.50 15.15

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 73.16
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 107.95 107.95 107.95 107.95 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/21 95.31 95.31 95.31 95.31 1 1 -- 1.57
Annual 10/1/20 84.09 84.09 84.09 84.09 1 1 -- 0.95

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 73.16 -- --
Annual 10/1/18 67.23 -- --
Annual 10/1/17 60.61 9.44 542.02

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 14.26
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 19.30 19.30 19.30 19.30 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/21 17.87 18.16 17.58 17.87 2 1 -- 2.32
Annual 10/1/20 15.55 16.16 14.93 15.55 2 -- 1 -0.67

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 14.26 15.09 -5.50
Annual 10/1/18 13.46 9.53 41.31
Annual 10/1/17 11.98 10.56 13.45

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 0.06
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/21 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 2 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/20 0.09 0.12 0.06 0.09 2 1 -- 50.00

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 0.06 0.08 -15.00
Annual 10/1/18 0.06 0.06 --
Annual 10/1/17 0.06 0.06 --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 731.90
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 888.61 954.80 795.63 914.20 6 -- -- -1.78
Annual 10/1/21 838.24 879.90 674.00 854.39 10 1 -- -2.13
Annual 10/1/20 778.26 783.00 768.80 778.61 10 1 -- 0.00
Quarterly 1/1/20 163.06 169.52 133.00 167.35 8 -- -- -2.57
Quarterly 4/1/20 184.81 191.79 156.00 188.35 8 -- -- -2.18
Quarterly 7/1/20 203.59 210.00 175.00 207.36 8 -- -- -1.97
Quarterly 10/1/20 210.95 218.40 182.00 213.88 8 -- -- -1.92

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 731.90 733.91 -0.27
Annual 10/1/18 700.60 679.84 3.05
Annual 10/1/17 550.60 549.06 0.28
Quarterly 10/1/19 196.80 198.57 -0.89
Quarterly 7/1/19 192.80 194.77 -1.01
Quarterly 4/1/19 177.50 173.68 2.20
Quarterly 1/1/19 164.80 160.28 2.82

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 866.90
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 1,147.00 1,147.00 1,147.00 1,147.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/21 1,039.58 1,058.24 1,016.50 1,044.00 3 1 -- 0.29
Annual 10/1/20 942.67 970.02 917.00 941.00 3 1 -- 0.11
Quarterly 1/1/20 202.45 207.00 197.90 202.45 2 -- -- 2.30
Quarterly 4/1/20 226.85 230.00 223.70 226.85 2 -- -- 1.41
Quarterly 7/1/20 245.75 248.00 243.50 245.75 2 -- -- 0.92
Quarterly 10/1/20 253.45 255.00 251.90 253.45 2 -- -- 0.62

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 866.90 860.34 0.76
Annual 10/1/18 829.00 869.93 -4.70
Annual 10/1/17 739.00 670.66 10.19
Quarterly 10/1/19 232.30 234.30 -0.85
Quarterly 7/1/19 226.30 276.65 -18.20
Quarterly 4/1/19 211.30 209.05 1.08
Quarterly 1/1/19 197.00 194.95 1.05

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 9.33
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 13.94 15.55 12.94 13.71 5 -- -- 2.98
Annual 10/1/21 12.18 13.91 11.26 12.14 10 -- -- -0.75
Annual 10/1/20 10.60 12.12 9.17 10.61 10 -- -- -1.48
Quarterly 1/1/20 2.31 2.68 2.05 2.28 7 -- -- 2.70
Quarterly 4/1/20 2.68 3.10 2.39 2.61 7 -- -- 2.65
Quarterly 7/1/20 3.04 3.45 2.69 2.98 7 -- -- 2.31
Quarterly 10/1/20 3.16 3.59 2.84 3.08 7 -- -- 2.35

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 9.33 9.43 -1.05
Annual 10/1/18 2.81 3.84 -26.87
Annual 10/1/17 7.52 8.15 -7.74
Quarterly 10/1/19 2.42 2.77 -12.58
Quarterly 7/1/19 2.40 2.70 -11.21
Quarterly 4/1/19 2.45 2.22 10.36
Quarterly 1/1/19 2.07 2.01 3.06

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 1,737.30
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 159.00 159.00 159.00 159.00 1 -- -- -54.44
Annual 10/1/21 723.00 723.00 723.00 723.00 1 -- 1 -9.17
Annual 10/1/20 1,215.00 1,215.00 1,215.00 1,215.00 1 -- 1 -2.72

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 1,737.30 1,460.00 18.99
Annual 10/1/18 1,945.10 1,963.81 -0.95
Annual 10/1/17 1,083.90 999.00 8.50

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 617.60
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 788.98 793.00 782.20 790.35 5 -- -- 0.13
Annual 10/1/21 719.64 751.60 702.00 715.30 11 1 1 -0.31
Annual 10/1/20 641.82 647.80 636.00 641.41 12 1 1 -0.10
Quarterly 1/1/20 135.68 137.20 134.00 135.70 8 -- -- -0.18
Quarterly 4/1/20 154.52 156.20 151.00 154.75 8 -- -- 0.14
Quarterly 7/1/20 172.35 174.00 170.90 172.01 8 -- -- 0.14
Quarterly 10/1/20 179.35 182.03 177.10 179.40 8 -- -- 0.13

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 617.60 616.79 0.13
Annual 10/1/18 571.90 576.17 -0.74
Annual 10/1/17 481.10 480.31 0.16
Quarterly 10/1/19 165.20 164.24 0.58
Quarterly 7/1/19 161.90 158.91 1.88
Quarterly 4/1/19 146.70 134.21 9.30
Quarterly 1/1/19 142.70 124.86 14.29

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 938.44 938.44 938.44 938.44 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 180.30 180.30 180.30 180.30 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 194.09 194.09 194.09 194.09 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/20 210.06 210.06 210.06 210.06 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/20 219.83 219.83 219.83 219.83 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 17.81
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 15.40 15.40 15.40 15.40 1 -- -- --
Annual 10/1/21 14.90 16.60 13.50 14.75 4 -- -- -3.46
Annual 10/1/20 13.44 16.60 8.90 13.50 5 -- -- -2.78

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 17.81 13.85 3.96
Annual 10/1/18 17.64 15.13 2.52
Annual 10/1/17 16.38 14.94 1.44

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 2,653.40
FY0 End Date: 10/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10/1/22 3,170.09 3,183.00 3,135.09 3,172.80 7 -- -- 0.07
Annual 10/1/21 2,977.97 3,011.83 2,950.10 2,977.00 13 -- 1 0.01
Annual 10/1/20 2,796.11 2,806.45 2,788.00 2,795.98 14 -- 1 -0.04
Quarterly 1/1/20 647.93 650.20 645.60 648.00 13 -- -- 0.01
Quarterly 4/1/20 688.22 696.40 682.50 688.18 13 -- -- -0.04
Quarterly 7/1/20 722.85 728.00 718.30 723.50 13 -- -- 0.02
Quarterly 10/1/20 737.73 742.20 731.90 737.91 13 -- -- 0.01

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 10/1/19 2,653.40 2,646.68 0.25
Annual 10/1/18 2,532.80 2,526.22 0.26
Annual 10/1/17 2,139.00 2,137.05 0.09
Quarterly 10/1/19 691.60 683.97 1.11
Quarterly 7/1/19 679.40 687.55 -1.19
Quarterly 4/1/19 654.30 654.12 0.03
Quarterly 1/1/19 628.10 617.86 1.66

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 28.26 27.22 24.40

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 4.06 11.54 9.70

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